San Diego @ Colorado Picks & Props

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams playing today. Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jackson Merrill's true offensive talent to be a .323, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .016 gap between that mark and his actual .339 wOBA. As it relates to plate discipline, Jackson Merrill's skill is quite poor, sporting a 3.93 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 20th percentile.

The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams playing today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today's matchup.

David Peralta is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today. 33% of the time that David Peralta has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams playing today. David Peralta will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Despite posting a .331 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes David Peralta has experienced some positive variance given the .023 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

10% of the time that Jurickson Profar has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Cal Quantrill today. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams playing today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jurickson Profar in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Jurickson Profar's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.

Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Manny Machado will have a tough challenge today. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams playing today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Manny Machado today. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 12.1% on the season to 7.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 90°.

Hitting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Brendan Rodgers has a tough challenge in today's game. Brendan Rodgers has struggled with his Barrel%; his 11% rate last season has decreased to 4.8% this season. From last season to this one, Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 19.7% to 10.2%. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Brendan Rodgers has had positive variance on his side this year. His .321 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .299. Brendan Rodgers has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 19th percentile with a 4.03 K/BB rate.

Matt Waldron will have the handedness advantage against Brenton Doyle today. Over the last week, Brenton Doyle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph lately. Brenton Doyle has been lucky this year, putting up a .335 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .039 discrepancy. In terms of plate discipline, Brenton Doyle's talent is quite poor, posting a 3.84 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 20th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. In the last two weeks, Charlie Blackmon's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%. There has been a decrease in Charlie Blackmon's average exit velocity this season, from 86.4 mph last year to 84 mph now Charlie Blackmon has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84-mph dropping to 79.1-mph over the last two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.214) implies that Charlie Blackmon has had some very good luck this year with his .252 actual batting average.

Batting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Ezequiel Tovar has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Ezequiel Tovar has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.277) may lead us to conclude that Ezequiel Tovar has been very fortunate this year with his .321 actual wOBA. Ezequiel Tovar has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 0th percentile with a 10.05 K/BB rate.

The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 90°. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.252) implies that Ha-seong Kim has suffered from bad luck this year with his .228 actual batting average. In terms of plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.35 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 96th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Xander Bogaerts will not have the upper hand today. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams playing today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xander Bogaerts today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Xander Bogaerts's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%. In the past 14 days, Xander Bogaerts's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 89.5 mph to 85.3 mph.

The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 90°. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Kyle Higashioka's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.7-mph recently. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.2°, Kyle Higashioka has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 24.6° mark in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 90°. Hitting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Jake Cave will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 90°. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jordan Beck will hold that advantage today.

The #1 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 90°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Michael Toglia has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.5-mph average to last season's 91-mph mark.

Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 90°. Elias Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The #1 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 90°. Jacob Stallings will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Last year, Jacob Stallings had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.2°.

When assessing his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Arraez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 90°.