Toronto @ Chicago Picks & Props

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Addison Barger's launch angle lately (31.6° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 11.7° seasonal angle. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Addison Barger has suffered from bad luck this year. His .223 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .267.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have an advantage in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 14.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Michael Busch is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. Michael Busch will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage today. Michael Busch has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 19% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Chris Bassitt today. Ian Happ will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Spencer Horwitz stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Spencer Horwitz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Wagner can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. In the past week's worth of games, Will Wagner has displayed impressive power, recording a a 28.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power). Will Wagner has been hot in recent games, posting a 101.6-mph average exit velocity in the past 7 days.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. George Springer will have the handedness advantage against Justin Steele in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. Dansby Swanson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.9°, Dansby Swanson has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 43.8° mark over the last week.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage today. Last year, Isaac Paredes had an average launch angle of 18° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 21.6°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Nico Hoerner's 54.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45%. In terms of his batting average, Nico Hoerner has experienced some negative variance this year. His .256 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .288.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage in today's game.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today's game. Miguel Amaya has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 92-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Miguel Amaya's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 43.6% on the season to 77.8% over the last week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) implies that Miguel Amaya has suffered from bad luck this year with his .220 actual batting average.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. Daulton Varsho will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this year (25.9°) is significantly higher than his 20.3° mark last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. Davis Schneider will have the handedness advantage against Justin Steele in today's game. Davis Schneider pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Davis Schneider's true offensive ability to be a .321, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .030 gap between that mark and his actual .291 wOBA.

Ernie Clement's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ernie Clement has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Ernie Clement will have the upper hand today.

Pete Crow-Armstrong's BABIP talent is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup. Pete Crow-Armstrong will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Pete Crow-Armstrong has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 91.5-mph in the last 14 days.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have the upper hand in today's game. Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last year's 90.6-mph average.

Steward Berroa has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.