Washington @ Philadelphia Picks & Props
WAS vs PHI Picks
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WAS vs PHI Consensus Picks
More Consensus
70% picking Philadelphia
Total PicksWAS 219, PHI 514
65% picking Washington vs Philadelphia to go Over
Total PicksWAS 291, PHI 155
WAS vs PHI Props
Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The #8 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Among every team today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has experienced some positive variance given the .027 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.
Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The #8 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Among every team today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Over the past 14 days, Trea Turner's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%. Trea Turner's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 88.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 86-mph over the last 14 days.
Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The #8 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Among every team today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. In the last 7 days, Nick Castellanos's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%.
Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Luis Garcia has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Luis Garcia's launch angle this year (8.7°) is a considerable increase over his 4.5° mark last season. Over the past 7 days, Luis Garcia's maximum exit velocity (a good measure of recent form and raw power) has been 108.7-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.
CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
CJ Abrams is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Bryce Harper has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in MLB. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Kyle Schwarber will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP.
Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington
Alex Call has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Alex Call will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Alex Call's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 87.9-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 82.2-mph over the past week.
Juan Yepez Total Hits Props • Washington
Juan Yepez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Juan Yepez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Juan Yepez pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Juan Yepez has notched a .341 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 84th percentile.
James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 7th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP ability. James Wood is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. James Wood has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. James Wood has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 94.7-mph average.
J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. J.T. Realmuto will hold the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Johan Rojas will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. Johan Rojas has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 90.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 85.9-mph.
Andres Chaparro Total Hits Props • Washington
Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Andres Chaparro will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Andres Chaparro has been hot lately, posting a .375 wOBA in the past week.
Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington
Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Riley Adams will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. Riley Adams's 89.7-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the majors since the start of last season: 75th percentile. Riley Adams grades out in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.2% rate since the start of last season).
Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez. Ildemaro Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. In terms of plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.63 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 90th percentile.
Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Jacob Young will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. Jacob Young has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 85-mph.
Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an edge in today's matchup. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Weston Wilson Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Weston Wilson will have the upper hand in today's game. Weston Wilson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Weston Wilson's footspeed has improved this season. His 26.5 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.18 ft/sec now.
WAS vs PHI Trends
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Run Line in 66 of their last 115 games (+10.25 Units / 7% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 38 away games (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 115 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 60 away games (+1.60 Units / 3% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 52 games (-19.05 Units / -30% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-17.05 Units / -19% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 38 away games (-12.85 Units / -29% ROI)
Philadelphia Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 56 games at home (+14.40 Units / 13% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 52 games at home (+18.50 Units / 26% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 61 of their last 105 games (+10.15 Units / 8% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 51 games at home (+9.50 Units / 15% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 53 games at home (+8.50 Units / 8% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 105 games (-24.25 Units / -20% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 104 games (-22.25 Units / -18% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 117 games (-14.50 Units / -11% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 56 games (-13.60 Units / -20% ROI)
WAS vs PHI Top User Picks
More PicksWashington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||
Philadelphia Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | fatrats | 8-2-0 | +21045 |
| 2 | jlayne089 | 5-5-0 | +20155 |
| 3 | jakringle | 4-6-0 | +19940 |
| 4 | Alayne | 9-1-0 | +19467 |
| 5 | dragon5868 | 5-5-0 | +19235 |
| 6 | tonloc4554 | 6-4-0 | +17610 |
| 7 | KSBreview | 6-4-0 | +15789 |
| 8 | JL023 | 3-7-0 | +15387 |
| 9 | DavePaliwoda | 7-3-0 | +15330 |
| 10 | nolajay | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| All Phillies Money Leaders | |||