Los Angeles @ St. Louis Picks & Props

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°. Batting from the opposite that Bobby Miller throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage today. Nolan Gorman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Nolan Gorman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.8-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.5-mph EV. Last year, Nolan Gorman had an average launch angle of 21.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 24.5°.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°. Victor Scott will hold the platoon advantage against Bobby Miller in today's matchup. Victor Scott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Victor Scott will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Victor Scott has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 3.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last week.

Bobby Miller will hold the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn in today's matchup. Masyn Winn has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 89.7-mph EV last year has fallen off to 87.2-mph. Masyn Winn's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 43.2% on the season to 23.1% over the past 7 days. Despite posting a .322 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Masyn Winn has experienced some positive variance given the .031 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .291.

Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage over Mookie Betts in today's game. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mookie Betts in today's matchup. Mookie Betts has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 7 days. In the last week, Mookie Betts's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 94-mph of late. Mookie Betts has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .393 rate is quite a bit higher than his .365 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have a tough matchup in today's game. Teoscar Hernandez has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Teoscar Hernandez in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 95.8 mph to 91.3 mph.

Freddie Freeman has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Over the past 7 days, Freddie Freeman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.9% up to 16.7%. Freddie Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 91.8-mph seasonal average has dropped to 85.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Brendan Donovan's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°. Batting from the opposite that Bobby Miller throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Miller today. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°. Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage over Andre Pallante in today's game. Gavin Lux hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°. Kike Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kike Hernandez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last year's 88.2-mph mark. Kike Hernandez's launch angle in recent games (20.5° in the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 16.6° seasonal mark. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kike Hernandez's true offensive ability to be a .296, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .027 disparity between that mark and his actual .269 wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week. In the last week's worth of games, Paul Goldschmidt's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.2-mph in recent games.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have an advantage in today's matchup. This season, Kevin Kiermaier has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90.7 mph compared to last year's 87.4 mph mark. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kevin Kiermaier's true offensive skill to be a .273, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .025 disparity between that mark and his actual .248 wOBA.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°. Extreme flyball batters like Andy Pages tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante. Andy Pages has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.8% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week. Andy Pages has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph EV. Andy Pages's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 46.4% on the season to 66.7% over the last week.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tommy Pham ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°. Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Tommy Pham will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage today. There has been a significant improvement in Willson Contreras's launch angle from last year's 10.1° to 14.2° this year.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°. When it comes to plate discipline, Miguel Rojas's ability is quite good, posting a 1.97 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 79th percentile. Grading out in the 81st percentile, Miguel Rojas has put up a .271 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Miller in today's game. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 87°. Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Nolan Arenado has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 3.2% seasonal rate to 8.3% in the past week. With a 2 K/BB rate this year, Nolan Arenado has displayed impressive plate discipline, placing in the 78th percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.