Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 10, 2026.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.13 |
+100 
|
o8.5 +100 
|
+1.5 -215
|
|
5.21 |
-115 
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +170
|
Tampa Bay
Atlanta
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.32 |
+160
|
o8.5 -108 
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
5.32 |
-188 
|
u8.5 -107
|
-1.5 +115 
|
Houston
Philadelphia
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.87 |
+115
|
o6.5 -110
|
+1.5 -210 
|
|
3.59 |
-125 
|
u6.5 +100
|
-1.5 +188
|
Texas
Seattle
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.68 |
+275
|
o8.5 -108
|
+2.5 -130
|
|
6.00 |
-315
|
u9.0 -120
|
-2.5 +115
|
Colorado
NY Yankees
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.76 |
-108
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
4.20 |
-105
|
u8.0 -120
|
+1.5 -190
|
Pittsburgh
Chi. White Sox
TB
@
ATL
Thu, Sep 10 • 12:15 PM ET
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+319)
Junior Caminero has the contact profile to leave the yard, with two homers, a .304 ISO, a 58.8% hard-hit rate, and a 17.6% barrel rate over his last six games. Pérez’s hard-contact issues and Atlanta’s homer-prone bullpen give him multiple paths.
o8.5 (-105)
The Over 8.5 is mostly about bullpen volatility. Atlanta’s relief corps has been vulnerable to homers, and Tampa Bay’s pen has been even shakier by xERA. Even with Atlanta’s offense cold, both teams have enough late-game scoring paths to clear this number.
HOU
@
PHI
Thu, Sep 10 • 1:05 PM ET
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total Home Runs (+305)
Fastballs and changeups account for nearly 70% of what Cristian Javier throws against left-handed hitters.
That should play into the hands of Bryce Harper, who has gone nuclear when facing those two pitchers this season.
Harper has hit .354 with an xwOBA of nearly .500. More importantly, his barrel rate sits at 17.2% and his xSLG has cleared .700.
u8.5 (-109)
The Houston Astros are 26th in hard hit rate and 28th in squared up contact against righties this month. They’re not stringing together many damaging swings.
While the Philadelphia Phillies have generated more hard hit balls, they’re not finding barrels. Only the Guardians rank below the Phillies in barrels vs. RHP in September.
Play to 53%.
TEX
@
SEA
Thu, Sep 10 • 4:10 PM ET
o6.5 (-105)
I’m bullish on the Over 6.5 to 53.5%. Texas sports a fourth-ranked wOBA, third-ranked ISO and fourth-ranked xwOBA over the past two weeks, and both teams have trended to the Over recently. Additionally, neither bullpen has been sharp down the stretch. Seattle relievers rank 30th in xERA over the past 30 days, and the Texas bullpen ranks 23rd in the metric.
TEX (+115)
I'd back the Rangers to +100 because starter Jacob deGrom’s 3.11 xFIP ranks ninth out of the 104 starters with at least 100 innings, and the Texas offense has been solid with a fourth-ranked wOBA, third-ranked ISO and fourth-ranked xwOBA over the past two weeks. Seattle respectively checks in ranked 24th, 26th and 23rd during the same stretch, and Mariners righty Logan Gilbert has begun to slide late in the season with a ho-hum 4.10 xERA and 3.92 xFIP over his past six starts.
COL
@
NYY
Thu, Sep 10 • 7:05 PM ET
Max Fried u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-104)
Max Fried is in excellent form, staying Under 1.5 earned runs in five straight appearances while continuing to limit damage. His recent xERA, command, and homer suppression line up well against a weak Rockies lineup that owns just an 80 wRC+ against left-handed pitching.
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total Home Runs (+443)
Colorado's Ryan Feltner is the biggest pitcher target today. He has the worst HR/9 among today's starters dating back to last year and is pitching in the toughest environment on the slate. The wind is blowing out to the short porch at Yankee Stadium, and Feltner gives up more slugging to left-handed bats. It's another great day to target New York's lefties. It was Cody Bellinger cashing yesterday at 17% with a fair price of 20%. I might move that fair price closer to 21%, making today's 18.3% an easy call in this setup.
PIT
@
CHW
Thu, Sep 10 • 7:40 PM ET
Tristan Peters o0.5 Total Hits (-135)
Tristan Peters has been swinging a hot bat, hitting .400 over the last week while clearing this hits prop in four of his previous five games. Jared Jones has allowed hard contact recently, and Peters’ own 55.6% hard-hit rate gives this Over solid support.
CHW (-109)
I got this at 52% and have the fair price closer to 54%. The White Sox have already dropped both games of this series, and getting swept should provide plenty of motivation. There might be some interest in the Pirates with the Sox's starter, Hagen Smith, making his first start, but he's been a nasty lefty out of the bullpen this year, with nine scoreless outings in 10 games and 23 Ks over 16 innings. Jared Jones looks like a pitcher who struggles on visiting mounds, with a 4.0 BB/9 away from home compared to 2.6 at PNC Park. His road WHIP is also half a point higher away from Pittsburgh. I see this as a 50/50 game on a neutral field, and home-field advantage is worth at least another 2%, or 20 points, to me. The White Sox are fighting to hold onto the AL Central lead, while Pittsburgh has already secured the series and Chicago has one more chance to avoid the sweep.
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This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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