Miami @ New York Picks & Props

The shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.252) may lead us to conclude that Emmanuel Rivera has had some very poor luck this year with his .208 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst stadium in the majors for LHB batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Paul Blackburn in this game. Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Xavier Edwards has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 86.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an edge in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Derek Hill is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Stowers can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Kyle Stowers hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.

Jonah Bride is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Jonah Bride pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Paul Blackburn. Vidal Brujan has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jesse Winker ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Jesse Winker will hold the platoon advantage against Valente Bellozo in today's matchup. Jesse Winker has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Harrison Bader will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Blackburn in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

The shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes's true offensive skill to be a .270, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .033 deviation between that figure and his actual .237 wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 38.1% to 47%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Brandon Nimmo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Valente Bellozo in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Extreme flyball batters like Jose Iglesias generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Valente Bellozo.

The shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humidity of all games today at 79%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Luis Torrens will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.