Washington @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #25 ballpark in the game for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Alec Bohm will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 90.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 88.2-mph in the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Alec Bohm's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.7°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.6°.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #25 ballpark in the game for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Nick Castellanos faces a tough challenge in today's game. In the last 7 days, Nick Castellanos's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #25 ballpark in the game for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough matchup today. Trea Turner has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 88.5-mph in the past week.

The #7 field in the game for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, going from 42.5% on the season to 29% in the last two weeks. Sporting a .256 BABIP this year, Bryson Stott is ranked in the 12th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #7 field in the game for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Keibert Ruiz today. Keibert Ruiz's average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 84.9-mph seasonal average has fallen to 82.6-mph in the last two weeks.

The #7 field in the game for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Over the past week, Bryce Harper's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.8% down to 0%. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Bryce Harper's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 94.4 mph to 89.1 mph. In the past week, Bryce Harper's 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

The #7 field in the game for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Luis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Luis Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 92.3 mph to 90 mph. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Garcia's true offensive ability to be a .316, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .018 difference between that mark and his actual .334 wOBA.

The #7 field in the game for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. CJ Abrams has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 6.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week's worth of games. CJ Abrams's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 92.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 84.5-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Cal Stevenson will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Cal Stevenson will hold that advantage today.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Garrett Stubbs will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Garrett Stubbs will hold that advantage today.

Jacob Young's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Jacob Young has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 85-mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Alex Call has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.4°, Alex Call has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 17° angle in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 7th-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent. James Wood is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand today.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Over the past week, Andres Chaparro has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .363. Andres Chaparro has displayed some good exit velocity indicators of late, averaging 96.9-mph on his flyballs over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage today.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Juan Yepez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 11th-shallowest LF fences today. Posting a .341 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Juan Yepez grades out in the 84th percentile. Juan Yepez has put up a .294 batting average this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Jose Tena's BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Jose Tena will have the upper hand in today's game. Jose Tena has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Johan Rojas's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.9-mph over the course of the season to 90.2-mph of late.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Travis Blankenhorn will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's game. Travis Blankenhorn's quickness has gotten better this season. His 25.5 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.36 ft/sec now.