Boston @ Houston Picks & Props

Minute Maid Park grades out as the #21 venue in the game for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Nick Pivetta throws from, Yainer Diaz faces a tough challenge today. Today, Yainer Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.7% rate (81st percentile). From last year to this one, Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 21.6% to 11.4%.

The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Posting a .353 BABIP this year, Connor Wong is ranked in the 96th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Tyler O'Neill pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. This season, Tyler O'Neill has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98 mph compared to last year's 92.8 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Chas McCormick will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Chas McCormick has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .197 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .219 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's game. Yordan Alvarez is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Extreme groundball bats like Jeremy Pena are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Pivetta.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage today. Mauricio Dubon has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph to 92.5-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage against Ronel Blanco in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today's game. Rafael Devers has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jake Meyers's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Jake Meyers will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 14th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage over Ronel Blanco in today's matchup. Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Ceddanne Rafaela has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph to 92-mph in the past week's worth of games. Ceddanne Rafaela's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 41.4% on the season to 57.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Shay Whitcomb will hold that advantage in today's game. Shay Whitcomb has been hot lately, posting a a 25% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the past 7 days.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Danny Jansen's launch angle this year (23.1°) is significantly better than his 19.5° figure last year. Posting a 1.59 K/BB rate this year, Danny Jansen has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 91st percentile.

Triston Casas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco in today's game. In notching a .360 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Triston Casas finds himself in the 93rd percentile. When it comes to plate discipline, Triston Casas's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.93 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 82nd percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge today. Wilyer Abreu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 19.8% on the season to 28.6% over the past 7 days.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco in today's game. David Hamilton has compiled a .323 BABIP this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Jon Singleton is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Jon Singleton will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jon Singleton is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

Zach Dezenzo has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.