Milwaukee @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Alec Burleson has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will be challenged by the league's 6th-deepest LF fences today. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of all the teams playing today. Alec Burleson's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 87.5-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell as the 16th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. Garrett Mitchell has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Garrett Mitchell will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Garrett Mitchell hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team in action today.

Batting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's game. Nolan Gorman will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Nolan Gorman's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (24.5°) is a considerable increase over his 21.5° angle last year. In the last 14 days, Nolan Gorman's 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.3%.

Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest LF fences today. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (3.2°) is significantly worse than his 10.2° figure last year.

Batting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Victor Scott will have an advantage in today's matchup. Victor Scott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Victor Scott will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Victor Scott has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 4.3% seasonal rate to 10% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Over the last two weeks, Victor Scott's 55% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 37.7%.

Jackson Chourio's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Chourio has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team in action today. Jackson Chourio has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the past two weeks.

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Tyler Black will have the upper hand today. Tyler Black hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team in action today. Compared to his seasonal average of 8.7°, Sal Frelick has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 21.8° figure over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tommy Pham will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Tommy Pham has compiled a .321 BABIP this year, placing in the 80th percentile.

The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team in action today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today. Last year, Paul Goldschmidt had an average launch angle of 12.6° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.2°. Paul Goldschmidt's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 14.5% on the season to 25% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team in action today. William Contreras has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team in action today. Willy Adames has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.7% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week. Over the last 14 days, Willy Adames has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 36.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.3°.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Willson Contreras's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (12°) is a significant increase over his 8.1° mark last season. Over the past two weeks, Willson Contreras's 31% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an advantage in today's game. Brendan Donovan will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.7°, Brendan Donovan has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.5° mark over the last 14 days.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Masyn Winn has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 3.4% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the past week's worth of games. In the last week, Masyn Winn's 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.1%. Sporting a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Masyn Winn is ranked in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Tobias Myers in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage in today's game. Lars Nootbaar's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.9-mph now compared to just 89.1-mph then.

Hitting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Matt Carpenter will have an edge today. Matt Carpenter will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Matt Carpenter's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 35.2% to 47.2%. Sporting a 2.02 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Matt Carpenter has displayed good plate discipline, grading out in the 79th percentile.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's game. Nolan Arenado has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 89.9-mph. When it comes to plate discipline, Nolan Arenado's skill is quite impressive, sporting a 2.03 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 76th percentile. By putting up a .265 batting average this year, Nolan Arenado grades out in the 81st percentile.