Colorado @ Washington Picks & Props

The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brendan Rodgers in today's game. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 19.7% to 10.9%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brendan Rodgers's true offensive talent to be a .304, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .017 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .321 wOBA.

The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brenton Doyle in today's matchup. Brenton Doyle has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 11.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days. In the past 7 days, Brenton Doyle's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 93.8 mph to 83 mph.

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB.

The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Ezequiel Tovar will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Ezequiel Tovar's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%. Ezequiel Tovar has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .321 rate is a fair amount higher than his .276 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nationals Park ranks as the #28 park in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Over the last two weeks, Luis Garcia's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 2.7%. Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.6°, Luis Garcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.8°) over the past 14 days. Despite posting a .334 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Garcia has had some very good luck given the .019 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. Since the start of last season, Nolan Jones's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 84th percentile at 94.5 mph. Grading out in the 97th percentile, Nolan Jones has posted a .349 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jacob Young has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 88.1-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 85.1-mph. Jacob Young has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .249 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Cal Quantrill in today's matchup. James Wood will probably have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

Ryan McMahon's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan McMahon is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 46.1% to 51.7%.

Joey Gallo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill today. Joey Gallo may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP. Joey Gallo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Joey Gallo will hold that advantage today. Since the start of last season, Joey Gallo's 17.8% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers.

CJ Abrams is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Charlie Blackmon is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Juan Yepez will hold that advantage today. When it comes to plate discipline, Juan Yepez's talent is quite strong, putting up a 2 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 82nd percentile. Posting a .285 batting average this year, Juan Yepez grades out in the 89th percentile.

Andres Chaparro will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Andres Chaparro has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well lately, putting up a 24.3° angle on such balls over the past two weeks.

Jacob Stallings is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jacob Stallings will have the upper hand today. Jacob Stallings has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. With a .331 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jacob Stallings is ranked in the 79th percentile.

Jordan Beck's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jordan Beck will have an edge today. Jordan Beck has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Jordan Beck's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 45.8% on the season to 66.7% over the past week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Beck's true offensive talent to be a .290, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .044 deviation between that figure and his actual .246 wOBA.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his strong side against Cal Quantrill in this game. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Keibert Ruiz's launch angle from last year's 15.1° to 20.6° this season.

Aaron Schunk will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Jose Tena will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jose Tena has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jose Tena will hold that advantage in today's game.

Alex Call is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Call will hold that advantage in today's game. Alex Call's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 11.6% on the season to 21.1% over the last 7 days. Alex Call has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 93rd percentile with a 1.52 K/BB rate.

Michael Toglia has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Michael Toglia has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 18.1% seasonal rate to 36.4% in the past week. Michael Toglia has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 95.7-mph. Over the past week, Michael Toglia's 45.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.9%. Michael Toglia has put up a .338 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.