Milwaukee @ St. Louis Picks & Props
MIL vs STL Picks
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MIL vs STL Consensus Picks
More Consensus
73% picking Milwaukee
Total PicksMIL 473, STL 178
65% picking Milwaukee vs St. Louis to go Over
Total PicksMIL 265, STL 140
MIL vs STL Props
Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. In today's game, Brice Turang is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 42.3% rate (99th percentile). The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 5th-best out of all the teams playing today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brice Turang in today's game. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (3.2°) is a significant dropoff from his 10.2° angle last season.
Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Jackson Chourio will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 5th-best out of all the teams playing today. Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Hitting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, William Contreras will have a disadvantage today. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 5th-best out of all the teams playing today. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. William Contreras has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .282 BA is inflated compared to his .264 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Paul Goldschmidt will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Paul Goldschmidt's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (16.2°) is a significant increase over his 12.6° mark last year. In the past two weeks, Paul Goldschmidt's 23.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.5%.
Victor Scott II Total Hits Props • St. Louis

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Victor Scott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta today. Victor Scott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Victor Scott will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last week, Victor Scott's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 16.7%.
Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • St. Louis

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage today. Tommy Pham has recorded a .321 BABIP this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.
Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta today. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Garrett Mitchell Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

When assessing his BABIP skill, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Garrett Mitchell has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have an edge today. Garrett Mitchell hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's game. Last season, Willson Contreras had an average launch angle of 8.1° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 12°.
Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Willy Adames has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.7% seasonal rate to 22.6% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Willy Adames has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 29.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.3°.
Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Brendan Donovan will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage today.
Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Gary Sanchez's 11.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 83rd percentile this year. Gary Sanchez's maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to assess power) has been 114.4 mph this year, placing in the 94th percentile. Gary Sanchez and his 16.9° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 80th percentile, among the highest in the game this year. Checking in at the 76th percentile, Gary Sanchez sports a .326 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Sal Frelick will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's game. Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Posting a 1.82 K/BB rate this year, Sal Frelick has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 84th percentile.
Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Nolan Arenado's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.4% up to 11.1%. As it relates to plate discipline, Nolan Arenado's skill is quite strong, putting up a 2 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 79th percentile.
Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Masyn Winn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Masyn Winn has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 86.4-mph figure. Masyn Winn has put up a .271 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Alec Burleson will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • St. Louis

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Matt Carpenter will have the upper hand today. Matt Carpenter will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Matt Carpenter's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 35.2% to 47.2%. Matt Carpenter has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile with a 2.02 K/BB rate.
Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jake Bauers has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
MIL vs STL Trends
Milwaukee Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 126 games (+13.50 Units / 9% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games (+9.35 Units / 17% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 71 of their last 126 games (+9.60 Units / 6% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 98 games (+6.80 Units / 5% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.95 Units / 50% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 122 games (-25.95 Units / -19% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 57 of their last 126 games (-23.05 Units / -15% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the Team Total Under in 60 of their last 125 games (-14.85 Units / -10% ROI)
St. Louis Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games (+5.15 Units / 8% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.70 Units / 38% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 46 games at home (+4.80 Units / 8% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 56 games (-13.80 Units / -22% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 12 games at home (-8.05 Units / -54% ROI)
MIL vs STL Top User Picks
More PicksMilwaukee Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | doomsday07 | 9-1-0 | +27055 |
2 | LuckyGuy | 3-7-0 | +21010 |
3 | Ollywood | 4-6-0 | +19651 |
4 | luke44 | 2-7-1 | +18810 |
5 | declin005 | 5-5-0 | +18675 |
6 | ronebme | 7-3-0 | +18055 |
7 | joe pockets | 7-3-0 | +17000 |
8 | peede | 5-5-0 | +16645 |
9 | longball44 | 7-3-0 | +16480 |
10 | djgarcia | 7-3-0 | +16030 |
All Brewers Money Leaders |
St. Louis Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | alltalc | 7-3-0 | +20715 |
2 | Jackson2399 | 7-3-0 | +17017 |
3 | deweyay9 | 5-5-0 | +16133 |
4 | steelsteve | 5-5-0 | +14620 |
5 | mrmac4224 | 6-4-0 | +13709 |
6 | Jerrybook | 9-1-0 | +13100 |
7 | cheeser | 7-3-0 | +12475 |
8 | mikers | 9-1-0 | +12375 |
9 | northlv6238 | 7-3-0 | +11580 |
10 | YAL15M | 6-4-0 | +10655 |
All Cardinals Money Leaders |