Philadelphia @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Brady Singer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Castellanos today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. Nick Castellanos has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Over the last 14 days, Nick Castellanos's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme flyball bats like Michael Massey generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. In today's game, Alec Bohm is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40% rate (97th percentile). Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Bohm in today's game. In the last 7 days, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.3% down to 0%.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split.

Maikel Garcia has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's deepest RF fences in today's game. Typically, hitters like Maikel Garcia who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ranger Suarez. Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 92.7-mph average last season has decreased to 89.9-mph. In the last 14 days, Maikel Garcia's 8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.3%. Maikel Garcia has put up a .266 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 8th percentile.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Bobby Witt Jr. has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will be challenged by the game's deepest RF fences today. Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, notching a .420 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .377 — a .043 disparity.

Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-largest outfield in the majors — generally bad for home runs. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Trea Turner will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner in today's matchup. Trea Turner's speed has dropped off this season. His 30.23 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.45 ft/sec now.

Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) may lead us to conclude that Salvador Perez has been very fortunate this year with his .276 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split.

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 stadium in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). J.T. Realmuto's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 44.2% on the season to 56.5% in the last two weeks.

The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Hays has hit 41.3% of his balls in the air at least 100 mph this year, checking in at the 86th percentile. Placing in the 80th percentile, Austin Hays has put up a .322 BABIP this year.

The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Freddy Fermin will have an advantage in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Paul DeJong will have an advantage in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Paul DeJong generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.

Hunter Renfroe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Hunter Renfroe will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Garrett Hampson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dairon Blanco will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup.