Los Angeles @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Joey Loperfido is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Joey Loperfido hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Joey Loperfido will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Joey Loperfido has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 91.9-mph.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks. Addison Barger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Addison Barger has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 8.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last two weeks. Addison Barger has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 92.3-mph. Addison Barger's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 37.6% on the season to 60% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst venue in MLB for RHB base hits. This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks. Extreme flyball hitters like Will Wagner usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Anderson. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Will Wagner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Will Wagner has been hot lately, compiling a 91.2-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Zach Neto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks. In the past week's worth of games, Zach Neto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 100.2-mph lately. Zach Neto's launch angle of late (23.4° over the past week) is a significant increase over his 12.6° seasonal angle.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks. Taylor Ward's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 17.8% to 22.6%. In the last two weeks, Taylor Ward's 60.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Rendon in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Anthony Rendon is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks. Over the last 7 days, Anthony Rendon's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.5-mph in recent games. Despite posting a .272 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Rendon has had bad variance on his side given the .051 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks. Daulton Varsho will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this season (25.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 20.3° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Stefanic in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Michael Stefanic hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. As it relates to plate discipline, Michael Stefanic's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.53 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 93rd percentile. Posting a .269 batting average since the start of last season, Michael Stefanic grades out in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst venue in MLB for RHB base hits. This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 93.9-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 90.2-mph in the last 7 days. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle this season (6.8°) is considerably worse than his 10.2° angle last season. Compared to his seasonal mark of 6°, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (2.5° in the past 14 days).

Brandon Drury hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .206 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brandon Drury has suffered from bad luck given the .094 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks. George Springer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's game. Spencer Horwitz has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 95.1-mph over the past week. Over the past two weeks, Spencer Horwitz's 28.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.8%.

Kevin Pillar is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks. Over the past week, Kevin Pillar's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22%. Ranking in the 75th percentile, Kevin Pillar has put up a .264 batting average this year.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks. Niko Kavadas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. In the past week, Niko Kavadas has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power). Niko Kavadas has displayed some good exit velocity statistics recently, averaging 102.8-mph on his flyballs in the past week's worth of games.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Logan O'Hoppe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Logan O'Hoppe has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.7% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the last two weeks. Over the last 14 days, Logan O'Hoppe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 98.9-mph in recent games. Over the past 7 days, Logan O'Hoppe's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.6%.

Matt Thaiss has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Matt Thaiss will have the handedness advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's game. Matt Thaiss hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Last season, Matt Thaiss had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.2°. Sporting a 2.01 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Matt Thaiss has displayed impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Jo Adell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks. Jo Adell has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.2% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last week's worth of games. Jo Adell has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 94.7-mph. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.327) suggests that Jo Adell has had some very poor luck this year with his .297 actual wOBA.

Mickey Moniak is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks. Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Mickey Moniak has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.3-mph EV. Mickey Moniak has been unlucky this year, notching a .271 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .032 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks. Alejandro Kirk will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks. Davis Schneider will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Anderson today. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Davis Schneider's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (37.5° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 24.1° seasonal angle.