MLB Picks

Vladdy's power was on full display during the Blue Jays run to the World Series, hitting eight home runs. He's also 5-for-14 with a dinger in his career vs. Severino.

The Blue Jays led the majors in batting average and were fifth in wRC+ vs. right-handed pitchers last season while Luis Severino ranked in the 14th percentile in expected batting average.

The Rockies have the worst offense in the majors which is on full display when they travel away from Coors Field. They had a pathetic .589 OPS with 2.81 runs per game on the road last year. Meanwhile, the Marlins had an OPS of .693 with 3.91 runs per game at home. Neither team has done much to upgrade their lineups and there's a 10 mph wind blowing towards the infield at LoanDepot Park today. Miami is giving the pill to former Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara who struggled last season but was coming off Tommy John surgery. He's now two and a half years removed from surgery and could have a resurgent year. 

Hernandez posted a .976 OPS this spring after recording a respectable .782 mark against lefties last season. He’s projected to hit in the middle of the lineup and also draws a favorable matchup against Colorado southpaw Kyle Freeland tonight. Freeland has surrendered a .361 wOBA to right-handed hitters with a 4.98 ERA and 4.78 xFIP over the past three years.

 

Lane Thomas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #9 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.

As it relates to his home run talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #9 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Astros righty Mike Burrows had a 4.33 xERA last year and the Angels were third in the majors in run first inning percentage (33.3%). Sure the Halos don't have hitting depth but they are strong at the top — at least when Mike Trout is healthy. L.A. is sending lefty Yusei Kikuchi to the hill and he had a 4.48 xERA last year while pitching to an ugly 6.00 ERA in the first inning. The Astros hit well against lefties and they should be more productive on offense this year with a healthy Yordan Alvarez back in the lineup.

Schanuel went deep in the season opener yesterday, and the 2023 first-round pick projects to return to the middle of the lineup again in a neutral matchup against Houston Astros right-handed pitcher Mike Burrows (career 3.90 ERA and 3.95 xFIP across 99 1/3 MLB innings). In addition to being positioned to rack up counting stats, Schanuel worked on adding bat speed during the offseason, too.

FanDuel is offering generous odds on Spencer Torkelson to get off the mark with his first home run on Friday. The Tigers first baseman matched his career high with 31 homers in 2025, and all signs are that his power was still there in spring training. After King's struggles with the longball this spring, I like targeting him for HR props right now.

Michael King struggled down the stretch last year and looked even worse in spring training. With Framber Valdez taking the mound for Detroit, I think there's a clear edge on this pitching matchup for the Tigers. I'm taking them to win tonight.

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If you’re in the market for consistent production, look no further than Ramirez. His hit totals for the past four seasons read: 168, 172, 173, 168 – and there’s no sign of decline for the wily veteran. Ramirez thumped a two-RBI double last night to turn the contest in Cleveland’s favor, and he’s had success against Seattle starter George Kirby to the tune of a 6-for-12 record, with three doubles and a homer.

When the Mariners go to the bullpen, it’s worth noting that Ramirez also has a pair of hits against key relievers Gabe Speier and Andres Muñoz.

These were two of the most productive offenses in the majors last year, with the Dodgers leading the NL in OPS (.768) and the Diamondbacks third (.758). L.A.'s murderer's row has gotten even better after adding Kyle Tucker. Meanwhile, the D-Backs dealt Josh Naylor and Eugenio Suárez midway through last season but the top of their lineup remains formidable with Corbin Carroll, Geraldo Perdomo, and Ketel Marte. Arizona is starting Ryne Nelson who had an xERA of 3.93 last year and was in the bottom fifth percentile in average exit velocity.

Will Smith has some under-the-radar value tonight against Nelson. 

His fastball makes up the bulk of his pitching arsenal, which is something you'd think he'd reduce (at least some) against this Dodgers lineup. Enter the slider.

Nelson relied on this pitch throughout 2025 as a go-to secondary option. If he uses that against Smith, he'll be showing him a pitch on which Smith produced the second-highest average exit velocity and hardest hit rate of any Dodger player.