New York @ Washington Picks & Props

The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 7th-hottest weather of all games today at 83°. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Giancarlo Stanton today. When it comes to plate discipline, Giancarlo Stanton's talent is quite poor, sporting a 3.79 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 20th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Austin Wells ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Wells is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league are found in Nationals Park. Austin Wells has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 93.1-mph. Austin Wells's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 48.3% on the season to 70% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league are found in Nationals Park. Alex Verdugo has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 86.3-mph over the last 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) suggests that Alex Verdugo has been unlucky this year with his .229 actual batting average. In terms of plate discipline, Alex Verdugo's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.79 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 84th percentile.

The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 7th-hottest weather of all games today at 83°. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Aaron Judge in today's game. Despite posting a .487 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Aaron Judge has had positive variance on his side given the .057 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .430.

The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 7th-hottest weather of all games today at 83°. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 92.9-mph average last year has decreased to 90.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league are found in Nationals Park. Extreme groundball hitters like Jose Tena usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nestor Cortes. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Jose Tena will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. This year, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s 11% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 77th percentile among his peers. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s 95-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 87th percentile this year.

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. CJ Abrams will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. The standard deviation of CJ Abrams's launch angle has been very consistent recently (33.7° over the past two weeks), which is an indicator of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in baseball. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league are found in Nationals Park. Juan Soto has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 20.3% this year. Juan Soto has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101.9-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 98.9-mph.

Luis Garcia's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 83°. Extreme flyball bats like Luis Garcia are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nestor Cortes. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league are found in Nationals Park. Extreme flyball hitters like James Wood usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nestor Cortes. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, DJ LeMahieu will have an advantage today. DJ LeMahieu has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, DJ LeMahieu has experienced some negative variance this year. His .196 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256. DJ LeMahieu has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 86th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jacob Young will hold the platoon advantage over Nestor Cortes in today's matchup. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Jacob Young are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nestor Cortes. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

Anthony Volpe's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's game. Anthony Volpe has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Jose Trevino will have an advantage today. Jose Trevino has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.7-mph average to last year's 85.8-mph figure. With a 1.94 K/BB rate this year, Jose Trevino has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Juan Yepez will hold the platoon advantage over Nestor Cortes in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Juan Yepez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Juan Yepez has put up a .329 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 78th percentile. Juan Yepez has recorded a .283 batting average this year, ranking in the 89th percentile.

The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Nestor Cortes. Extreme flyball hitters like Ildemaro Vargas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nestor Cortes. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Ildemaro Vargas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In terms of plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's talent is quite good, sporting a 1.62 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 90th percentile.

Andres Chaparro is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Andres Chaparro will have the handedness advantage against Nestor Cortes today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Andres Chaparro will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Keibert Ruiz's launch angle from last season's 15.1° to 20.6° this year. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.6°, Keibert Ruiz has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 24.5° figure in the last 14 days.