LIVE bottom 9th Sep 19
LAD 20 -200 o8.0
MIA 4 +182 u8.0
LIVE bottom 4th Sep 19
BOS 0 -108 o8.0
TB 1 -100 u8.0
LIVE top 3rd Sep 19
PIT 0 +130 o8.5
STL 0 -141 u8.5
LIVE bottom 2nd Sep 19
AZ 0 -122 o8.5
MIL 0 +112 u8.5
LIVE bottom 2nd Sep 19
PHI 0 +126 o8.0
NYM 2 -136 u8.0
LIVE top 1st Sep 19
WAS 0 +162 o8.5
CHC 0 -177 u8.5
LAA +241 o8.0
HOU -270 u8.0
Final Sep 19
SF 3 +142 o7.0
BAL 5 -155 u7.0
Final Sep 19
ATL 15 -214 o9.0
CIN 3 +194 u9.0
Final (10) Sep 19
MIN 2 -111 o8.0
CLE 3 +103 u8.0
Final Sep 19
TOR 4 +122 o7.5
TEX 0 -132 u7.5
Final Sep 19
NYY 2 +111 o7.0
SEA 3 -120 u7.0
Bally Sports Network, NBCSCH

Detroit @ Chicago props

Guaranteed Rate Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-233
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-233
Projection Rating

Colt Keith has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Colt Keith's launch angle in recent games (0.8° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 11.2° seasonal figure.

Colt Keith

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Colt Keith has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Colt Keith's launch angle in recent games (0.8° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 11.2° seasonal figure.

Matt Vierling Total Hits Props • Detroit

M. Vierling
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-204
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-204
Projection Rating

Hitting from the same side that Davis Martin throws from, Matt Vierling will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Over the past week, Matt Vierling's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%. With a 3.8 K/BB rate this year, Matt Vierling has displayed weak plate discipline, grading out in the 20th percentile.

Matt Vierling

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Hitting from the same side that Davis Martin throws from, Matt Vierling will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Over the past week, Matt Vierling's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%. With a 3.8 K/BB rate this year, Matt Vierling has displayed weak plate discipline, grading out in the 20th percentile.

Brooks Baldwin Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

B. Baldwin
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Brooks Baldwin will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Brooks Baldwin has been unlucky this year, notching a .247 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .045 gap.

Brooks Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Brooks Baldwin will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Brooks Baldwin has been unlucky this year, notching a .247 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .045 gap.

Dillon Dingler Total Hits Props • Detroit

D. Dingler
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Dillon Dingler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 27.6% on the season to 42.9% over the last week.

Dillon Dingler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Dillon Dingler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 27.6% on the season to 42.9% over the last week.

Andrew Benintendi Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Benintendi
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Kenta Maeda will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Benintendi in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Maeda's large platoon split. Andrew Benintendi has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Andrew Benintendi

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Kenta Maeda will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Benintendi in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Maeda's large platoon split. Andrew Benintendi has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

R. Greene
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 90°. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Riley Greene has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When estimating his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 90°. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Riley Greene has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Nicky Lopez Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

N. Lopez
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Nicky Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Because of Kenta Maeda's large platoon split, Nicky Lopez will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game. Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Nicky Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nicky Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Because of Kenta Maeda's large platoon split, Nicky Lopez will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game. Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Lenyn Sosa Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Sosa
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Lenyn Sosa has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Lenyn Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 46.3% to 52.4%.

Lenyn Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Lenyn Sosa has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Lenyn Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 46.3% to 52.4%.

Parker Meadows Total Hits Props • Detroit

P. Meadows
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Parker Meadows is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Parker Meadows will have an edge today. Parker Meadows pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Parker Meadows

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Parker Meadows is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Parker Meadows will have an edge today. Parker Meadows pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Z. McKinstry
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage over Davis Martin in today's game. Zach McKinstry has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 4.5% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days. Over the last week, Zach McKinstry's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph recently.

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage over Davis Martin in today's game. Zach McKinstry has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 4.5% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days. Over the last week, Zach McKinstry's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph recently.

Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit

K. Carpenter
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an advantage in today's game.

Kerry Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an advantage in today's game.

Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Rogers
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 90°. Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Jake Rogers has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph figure. Jake Rogers has been unlucky this year, posting a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .032 discrepancy.

Jake Rogers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 90°. Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Jake Rogers has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph figure. Jake Rogers has been unlucky this year, posting a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .032 discrepancy.

Korey Lee Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

K. Lee
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Korey Lee has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Korey Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Korey Lee has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Gavin Sheets Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

G. Sheets
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Given Kenta Maeda's large platoon split, Gavin Sheets will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Gavin Sheets

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Given Kenta Maeda's large platoon split, Gavin Sheets will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Luis Robert Jr. Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Robert Jr.
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Luis Robert is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Luis Robert pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Luis Robert Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Luis Robert is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Luis Robert pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Trey Sweeney Total Hits Props • Detroit

T. Sweeney
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Trey Sweeney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Davis Martin in today's game. Trey Sweeney has been hot in recent games, posting a a 28.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the last week. Trey Sweeney has been hot of late, posting a 94.6-mph average exit velocity in the past week's worth of games.

Trey Sweeney

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Trey Sweeney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Davis Martin in today's game. Trey Sweeney has been hot in recent games, posting a a 28.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the last week. Trey Sweeney has been hot of late, posting a 94.6-mph average exit velocity in the past week's worth of games.

Dominic Fletcher Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

D. Fletcher
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Kenta Maeda will hold the platoon advantage against Dominic Fletcher today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Maeda's large platoon split. Dominic Fletcher has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Dominic Fletcher will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Dominic Fletcher

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Kenta Maeda will hold the platoon advantage against Dominic Fletcher today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Maeda's large platoon split. Dominic Fletcher has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Dominic Fletcher will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jace Jung Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Jung
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Jace Jung is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Jace Jung will have the handedness advantage against Davis Martin in today's matchup. Jace Jung has been cold lately, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the last week's worth of games.

Jace Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jace Jung is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Jace Jung will have the handedness advantage against Davis Martin in today's matchup. Jace Jung has been cold lately, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the last week's worth of games.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Spencer Torkelson has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 92.9-mph over the past 14 days. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Spencer Torkelson's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Spencer Torkelson has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 92.9-mph over the past 14 days. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Spencer Torkelson's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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