New York @ Washington Picks & Props

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 90°. Joey Gallo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today. Joey Gallo pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Joey Gallo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP. Giancarlo Stanton will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton has displayed bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 20th percentile with a 3.83 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 90°. When it comes to his batting average, Alex Verdugo has experienced some negative variance this year. His .233 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .267. With a 1.79 K/BB rate this year, Alex Verdugo has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gleyber Torres in today's game. Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 92.9-mph figure last year has fallen to 90.5-mph. In the past two weeks, Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 90.5 mph to 86.7 mph. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, going from 41.2% on the season to 34.3% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP. Aaron Judge will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Aaron Judge's true offensive ability to be a .431, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .055 gap between that mark and his actual .486 wOBA.

Anthony Volpe is penciled in 6th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Anthony Volpe today. Anthony Volpe has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 9.1% rate last season has decreased to 4% this year. Anthony Volpe's launch angle this season (6.9°) is quite a bit lower than his 14.1° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 90°. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 94.1-mph in the last 7 days.

Nationals Park grades out as the #28 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Luis Garcia has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 85.5-mph in the last 7 days. Luis Garcia has been lucky this year, notching a .335 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .019 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 8th-best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP skill. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 90°. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 90°. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Jacob Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 90°. Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

DJ LeMahieu's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 90°. DJ LeMahieu will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88.5-mph EV.

Nationals Park grades out as the #28 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Patrick Corbin will hold the platoon advantage against Juan Soto in today's matchup. Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Juan Soto has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 20.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 11.1% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 90°. Jose Tena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Andres Chaparro is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 90°. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Andres Chaparro will hold that advantage today.

Keibert Ruiz has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 90°. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Gerrit Cole. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 90°. Jose Trevino will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin today. Jose Trevino has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.6-mph average to last season's 85.8-mph mark. As it relates to plate discipline, Jose Trevino's ability is quite strong, posting a 1.94 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.

Dylan Crews has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.