Tampa Bay @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Jackson in the 3rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Alex Jackson is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today's game. This year, Alex Jackson has been pulled from the game early in 35% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher. T-Mobile Park projects as the #28 park in baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Junior Caminero has been hot recently, compiling a a 17.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the past week's worth of games. Junior Caminero has hit one of the hardest balls in MLB in the last 14 days — 116.3-mph — which is a good indicator of recent form and raw power.

Jose Siri's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Siri has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 15.8% seasonal rate to 37.5% in the past week's worth of games. Jose Siri has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last year's 94-mph mark. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, increasing from 20.3% on the season to 50% in the last 7 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.220) provides evidence that Christopher Morel has suffered from bad luck this year with his .195 actual batting average.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Julio Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 14th-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average ability. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (4.4° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 0.5° seasonal angle. Over the last 7 days, Yandy Diaz's maximum exit velocity (a strong measure of recent form and raw power) has been 113.6-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Mitch Haniger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Mitch Haniger will hold that advantage today. Mitch Haniger has been unlucky this year, posting a .281 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .031 discrepancy.

Jose Caballero has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (92% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Caballero's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph in recent games. In the last 14 days, Jose Caballero has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 22.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.8°. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 39.5% to 45.5%.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Randy Arozarena will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game.

Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Dylan Moore will have an advantage in today's matchup. Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Dylan Moore will hold that advantage today. Dylan Moore's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, going from 42.5% on the season to 58.3% over the past 14 days. Dylan Moore has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .201 BA is a fair amount lower than his .219 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Gilbert in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Last year, Brandon Lowe had an average launch angle of 13.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 18.1°.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jeffrey Springs. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last year's 89.6-mph figure.

Victor Robles is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Victor Robles will have the handedness advantage over Jeffrey Springs in today's game. Victor Robles pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Victor Robles will hold that advantage in today's game. Victor Robles's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (25.6° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 18.8° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jorge Polanco will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jorge Polanco has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .295 rate is a fair amount lower than his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Justin Turner will have the upper hand today. Justin Turner will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 46.4% on the season to 75% over the last week. Posting a 1.64 K/BB rate this year, Justin Turner has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 90th percentile.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Taylor Walls's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (22.1° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 16.9° seasonal angle. Taylor Walls has been unlucky this year, notching a .239 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .282 — a .043 discrepancy. As it relates to plate discipline, Taylor Walls's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.77 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 88th percentile.

Leonardo Rivas's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The switch-hitting Leonardo Rivas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jeffrey Springs. Leonardo Rivas pulls many of his flyballs (37.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Leonardo Rivas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week, Leonardo Rivas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.7% up to 10%.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.