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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 9, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.96 |
+115 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
5.18 |
-130 
|
u8.5 -105 
|
-1.5 +160 
|
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games following a win.
Detroit
- Tigers are 5-0 in Monteros last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Monteros last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Monteros last 10 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.01 |
-184
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 -110
|
|
4.41 |
+160
|
u9.5 -127
|
+1.5 -105
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 11-5 in Blue Jays last 16 road games.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Brady Basso o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
o1.5+120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
-121
|
o7.5 -130
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.84 |
+110
|
u8.5 -117
|
+1.5 -160 
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Over is 6-0 in Giants last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+231)
o0.5+231
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.76 |
+165 
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.94 |
-182
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +125
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 games following a loss.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 home starts.
- Padres are 4-0 in Buehlers last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Padres last 8 home games.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+231
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.83 |
+135
|
o7.5 -118
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.26 |
-150 
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +146
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 games following a win.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+208
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
-110
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.18 |
+102
|
u9.0 -119
|
+1.5 -164
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. American League East.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+105
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -198
|
|
5.03 |
-120
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 games following a win.
- Under is 5-0 in Stocks last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Miami
- Over is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Junks last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 |
+138
|
o7.5 -128
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.91 |
-155
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +135
|
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Browns last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 starts overall.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Phillies last 7 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)
o0.5+221
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+180
|
o9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
5.59 |
-210
|
u9.5 -121
|
-1.5 +102
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Bennetts last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
+210
|
o9.0 -107
|
+1.5 -105
|
|
6.44 |
-240
|
u9.5 -135
|
-1.5 -109
|
Colorado
- Rockies are 8-0 in Suganos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Aaron Judge o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
o1.5-120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.44 |
+106
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.79 |
-120
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +170
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+211
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+130
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -162
|
|
4.66 |
-148
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +145
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-2 in Pirates last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games.
- Under is 6-1 in Martins last 7 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Lake Bachar o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+150)
o2.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
-110
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.44 |
-104
|
u9.0 -125
|
+1.5 -170
|
Arizona
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Kansas City
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 on grass.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Royals last 9 games a home underdog.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+164)
o0.5+164
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.43 |
+116
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.48 |
-130
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Hendersons last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+242)
o0.5+242
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.66 |
+240
|
o8.5 -115
|
+2.0 -125
|
|
5.71 |
-285
|
u9.0 -125
|
-2.0 -104
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 3 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+234)
o0.5+234
MIN
@
DET
Wed, Sep 9 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 85th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 3rd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. Royce Lewis has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last week's worth of games.
Total Bases
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+113)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Luke Keaschall is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 3rd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
TOR
@
ATH
Wed, Sep 9 • 3:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. In Major League Baseball, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 95°.. Lawrence Butler will have the handedness advantage against Braydon Fisher in today's matchup.
Total Bases
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (-109)
Projection 2.09
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The #2 field in the league for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In Major League Baseball, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 95°.
STL
@
SF
Wed, Sep 9 • 3:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Nolan Gorman o1.5 Total Bases (+183)
Projection 1.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage against Blade Tidwell in today's matchup.. Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.. Nolan Gorman has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Nolan Gorman has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph mark.
Strikeouts Thrown
Andre Pallante o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+106)
Projection 4.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andre Pallante has averaged 91.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.. The San Francisco Giants have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Drew Cavanaugh, Shay Whitcomb, Jonah Cox, Bryce Eldridge).. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 37%.. Given that flyball hitters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Andre Pallante (56.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 4 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected batting order.
WAS
@
SD
Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Daylen Lile's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Dylan Crews o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Crews is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Dylan Crews hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
TEX
@
SEA
Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Kade Anderson throws from, Jake Burger will have the upper hand in today's game.. Jake Burger pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
CLE
@
BAL
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:35 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-104)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
I like the Guardians at this price, starting with Foster Griffin, who owns a 3.26 ERA across his full season and draws an Orioles lineup that has struggled against left-handed pitching. Griffin also has the starting-pitching edge over Shane Baz, who enters 5-15 with a 3.91 ERA. Cleveland has another advantage once the starters leave: since August 4, the Guardians rank fourth in defense and fifth in bullpen ERA. With three different run-prevention edges working in Cleveland's favor, I'll back the Guardians on the moneyline.
Total Hits
Blaze Alexander u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Over the last 14 days, Blaze Alexander's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.4% down to 0%.. Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.2°, Blaze Alexander has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.6°) in the past two weeks' worth of games.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Blaze Alexander's true offensive talent to be a .306, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .032 disparity between that figure and his actual .338 wOBA.. Blaze Alexander has shown bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 15th percentile with a 3.57 K/BB rate.
NYM
@
MIA
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Because of Robert Stock's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Stowers stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-141)
Projection 2.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Because of Robert Stock's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Stowers stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
HOU
@
PHI
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #9 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #9 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
LAA
@
BOS
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 1.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
COL
@
NYY
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has strong power (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano doesn't generate many whiffs (20th percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr..
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+108)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today's game.
TB
@
ATL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
ATL (-123)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Atlanta Braves are trading as a 55% favorite on Polymarket in their matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays, and I think there's an edge to exploit at that number because I price the Braves closer to a 57% favorite. There are two things I particularly like about this matchup for Atlanta, and both should help neutralize Tampa Bay's speed and running game. First, Reynaldo López isn't afraid to challenge hitters with velocity at the top of the zone, which makes it more difficult for the Rays' slap hitters to put the ball on the ground and beat out plays at first base. Second, Sean Murphy has a quick transfer and an elite pop time, giving him the ability to slow down Tampa Bay's running game once the Rays get runners on base.
Total Bases
Jorge Mateo o1.5 Total Bases (+235)
Projection 1.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for overall righty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Jorge Mateo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
PIT
@
CHW
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Lake Bachar o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+140)
Projection 3.37
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Lake Bachar in the 78th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.. The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Munetaka Murakami, Colson Montgomery, Kyle Teel).. It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Roberto Ortiz) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching of the day.. Lake Bachar's 2708-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 100th percentile among all SPs.
Total Bases
Konnor Griffin o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Konnor Griffin as the 2nd-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability.. Konnor Griffin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The #6 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. This year, the hardest ball Konnor Griffin has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph (a reliable standard to assess power), checking in at the 90th percentile.
AZ
@
KC
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Kyle Isbel u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 6th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Kyle Isbel is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. This year, Kyle Isbel has been pinch hit for in 15% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. The deepest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Kauffman Stadium.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces.
Total Hits
Ildemaro Vargas u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Ildemaro Vargas is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces.. Ildemaro Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Typically, hitters like Ildemaro Vargas who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Daniel Lynch.
CHC
@
MIL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. American Family Field projects as the #8 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Logan Henderson.
Total Bases
Alex Bregman o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. American Family Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF fences are the 7th-shallowest.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.
CIN
@
LAD
Wed, Sep 9 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as MLB's 20th-best home run batter.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
