Baltimore @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games today. Out of every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Mookie Betts's average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 92.4-mph figure last season has lowered to 90.3-mph. Mookie Betts's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 90.3-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 85.1-mph in the past week's worth of games. Mookie Betts has been lucky this year, putting up a .383 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .366 — a .017 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.302) may lead us to conclude that Jackson Holliday has had some very poor luck this year with his .242 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. Dean Kremer will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Taylor in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Chris Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game. Chris Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 40.4% to 46.6%.

Ramon Urias has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.6% seasonal rate to 17.9% in the past 14 days. Over the past two weeks, Ramon Urias's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.9-mph lately.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage today. Max Muncy has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 92.9-mph in the past week's worth of games. There has been a significant improvement in Max Muncy's launch angle from last season's 21.8° to 27.9° this season. Max Muncy has put up a .362 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. In notching a .269 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Adley Rutschman grades out in the 79th percentile. Posting a 1.71 K/BB rate this year, Adley Rutschman has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, placing in the 88th percentile.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Anthony Santander has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 7 days. There has been a significant improvement in Anthony Santander's launch angle from last year's 20° to 23.4° this season. Ranking in the 85th percentile, Anthony Santander sports a .348 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have an edge in today's game. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 100th percentile with a 23.6° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Eloy Jimenez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Eloy Jimenez has been unlucky this year, notching a .286 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .035 deviation.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games today. Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer in today's game. Out of every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Freddie Freeman has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week. Freddie Freeman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 20.1% on the season to 9.1% over the past 14 days.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games today. Teoscar Hernandez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 8th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. In the past week's worth of games, Teoscar Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.4% down to 9.1%. Teoscar Hernandez's launch angle lately (4.2° in the past two weeks) is considerably worse than his 9.6° seasonal angle.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best batter in the game. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson has compiled a .377 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 96th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Tommy Edman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Tommy Edman will bat from his weak side against Dean Kremer in this game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Colton Cowser is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge today. Ryan O'Hearn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 93-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 74-mph over the past 7 days.

Hitting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Miguel Rojas will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Miguel Rojas's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.8%. In terms of plate discipline, Miguel Rojas's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.88 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 81st percentile. Miguel Rojas has compiled a .282 batting average this year, placing in the 88th percentile.

Dean Kremer will have the handedness advantage over Kike Hernandez in today's matchup. Kike Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kike Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Kike Hernandez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph average. Kike Hernandez's launch angle of late (22.4° over the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 16.8° seasonal angle.

Shohei Ohtani has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.