New York @ Washington Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jose Tena is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Extreme flyball bats like Jose Tena usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Carlos Rodon.

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst venue in the game for RHB base hits. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Giancarlo Stanton in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton has displayed bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 19th percentile with a 3.87 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst venue in the game for RHB base hits. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 92.9-mph EV last year has fallen off to 90.6-mph. In the past 14 days, Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 90.6 mph to 87.5 mph. Gleyber Torres's launch angle lately (7.3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 16.1° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst venue in the game for RHB base hits. Aaron Judge will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Aaron Judge has experienced some positive variance this year. His .486 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .455.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 8th-best batter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Extreme groundball batters like James Wood tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Carlos Rodon.

Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst venue in the game for RHB base hits. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Anthony Volpe in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe's launch angle this year (7°) is quite a bit worse than his 14.1° mark last season. Utilizing Statcast data, Anthony Volpe ranks in the 25th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .293.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Hitters such as Luis Garcia with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Carlos Rodon who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Austin Wells ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Wells is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Austin Wells has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 14 days.

Juan Yepez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Juan Yepez will have an edge in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Juan Yepez will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) provides evidence that Alex Verdugo has had bad variance on his side this year with his .233 actual batting average. As it relates to plate discipline, Alex Verdugo's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.81 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the last week, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.1-mph over the course of the season to 106.7-mph lately. In the last week, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.2%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the league. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Juan Soto has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last season to 20.5% this year.

Andres Chaparro is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Andres Chaparro will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today. Andres Chaparro will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Dylan Crews is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Dylan Crews will have an edge today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today. Dylan Crews will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's game. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this year (20.4°) is a considerable increase over his 15.1° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, DJ LeMahieu will have an edge in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. DJ LeMahieu has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.6-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 88.5-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Jacob Young will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Batters such as Jacob Young with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Carlos Rodon who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Carlos Rodon. Batters such as Ildemaro Vargas with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Carlos Rodon who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today. Ildemaro Vargas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°. Extreme groundball batters like Nasim Nunez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Carlos Rodon. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today. Nasim Nunez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Nasim Nunez is quite toolsy, checking in at the 93rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.1 ft/sec this year.