Tampa Bay @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Siri has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 15.8% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks. Jose Siri has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last season's 94-mph mark. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.9°, Jose Siri has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 37° angle in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. Junior Caminero has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 108.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 95.4-mph. Junior Caminero has been hot in recent games, compiling a a 21.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) in the last week.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Luke Raley has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10% seasonal rate to 21.1% in the last 14 days. Luke Raley has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.6-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.2-mph EV.

Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Dylan Moore will have an edge in today's matchup. Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Dylan Moore will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Dylan Moore has experienced some negative variance this year. His .199 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .216.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the last week, Yandy Diaz has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 4.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 0.5°. Utilizing Statcast data, Yandy Diaz is in the 82nd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .267.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jorge Polanco will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Jorge Polanco's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leonardo Rivas in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The switch-hitting Leonardo Rivas will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Drew Rasmussen. Leonardo Rivas pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Leonardo Rivas will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Christopher Morel is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Christopher Morel has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .193 figure is deflated compared to his .218 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jose Caballero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past week, Jose Caballero's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph recently. Over the past 14 days, Jose Caballero has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 26.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.7°. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 39.5% to 45.3%.

Victor Robles will have the handedness advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup. Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Victor Robles will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Victor Robles's launch angle recently (22.7° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 17.2° seasonal angle. Ranking in the 84th percentile, Victor Robles sits with a .270 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's game. Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. Dylan Carlson's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (23.3°) is significantly better than his 15° figure last year.

Mitch Garver will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup. Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's game. Mitch Garver has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph EV. In terms of his batting average, Mitch Garver has suffered from bad luck this year. His .164 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .199.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Brandon Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the past two weeks, Brandon Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.1-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph of late.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Mitch Haniger will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Mitch Haniger will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Mitch Haniger has been unlucky this year. His .281 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .302.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. Taylor Walls's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (22.1° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 16.9° seasonal mark. With a 1.92 K/BB rate this year, Taylor Walls has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, placing in the 84th percentile.

Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Ben Rortvedt will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Ben Rortvedt has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Ben Rortvedt has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), ranking in the 85th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year. Ranking in the 87th percentile, Ben Rortvedt sits with a .338 BABIP this year.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Cal Raleigh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.5°, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 26.4° angle over the past 14 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.342) may lead us to conclude that Cal Raleigh has had some very poor luck this year with his .314 actual wOBA.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Justin Turner will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Justin Turner's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.1%. Posting a 1.62 K/BB rate this year, Justin Turner has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 90th percentile.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.