San Diego @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Batting from the same side that Joe Musgrove throws from, Masyn Winn has a tough challenge today. In today's matchup, Masyn Winn is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.4% rate (80th percentile). Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.7-mph figure last year has dropped off to 87.4-mph. In the last 7 days, Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 87.4 mph to 83.5 mph. Masyn Winn's launch angle of late (8.2° in the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 13° seasonal mark.

Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Manny Machado will have a tough matchup today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Manny Machado today. From last year to this one, Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.7% to 11.8%.

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today. Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Jackson Merrill has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 19th percentile with a 3.91 K/BB rate.

Batting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Victor Scott will have an edge in today's matchup. Victor Scott will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Victor Scott's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 37.8% on the season to 45.8% in the last two weeks. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Victor Scott has been unlucky this year. His .203 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .267. Ranking in the 100th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.14 ft/sec this year, Victor Scott is very athletic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul Goldschmidt will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Joe Musgrove throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today's game. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). David Peralta will have the handedness advantage over Andre Pallante in today's game. David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams playing today. Posting a .267 batting average this year, Xander Bogaerts has performed in the 78th percentile.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batters such as Kyle Higashioka with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andre Pallante who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams playing today. St. Louis's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for Kyle Higashioka, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 25%.

Luis Arraez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Arraez today. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 86.2-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 83.5-mph in the past week. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.6-mph mark last season has fallen off to 87.5-mph. Luis Arraez's launch angle of late (6.1° in the last week's worth of games) is significantly worse than his 13.3° seasonal figure.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage over Joe Musgrove today. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Tommy Pham ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Tommy Pham will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Tommy Pham's launch angle this year (11.2°) is a considerable increase over his 5.4° angle last year.

Luken Baker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Luken Baker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the last week, Luken Baker has displayed impressive power, recording a a 25% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power). Luken Baker has been hot recently, putting up a 93.1-mph average exit velocity in the past week.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's game. Placing in the 77th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score this year, Pedro Pages demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a key skill for achieving a high batting average.

Brendan Donovan's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brendan Donovan will have the handedness advantage over Joe Musgrove in today's game. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams playing today. Jurickson Profar has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 95.3-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's game. Nolan Arenado's launch angle recently (22.6° in the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 17.4° seasonal angle. Posting a 2.09 K/BB rate this year, Nolan Arenado has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 75th percentile.

Matt Carpenter has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.