Baltimore @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Gavin Lux's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Gavin Lux will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Bobby Miller throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have an edge today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cedric Mullins II's true offensive ability to be a .315, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .025 deviation between that figure and his actual .290 wOBA. Cedric Mullins II's 23.8° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the game: 100th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Bobby Miller throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jackson Holliday has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .240 mark is a good deal lower than his .303 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have an edge today. Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96-mph over the course of the season to 102.7-mph in recent games.

Mookie Betts projects as the 14th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Mookie Betts will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mookie Betts will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Shohei Ohtani will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.5°, Shohei Ohtani has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 19.1° figure over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Adley Rutschman's launch angle this year (18.4°) is a considerable increase over his 12.5° angle last season. Despite posting a .320 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adley Rutschman has had some very poor luck given the .020 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .340.

Ramon Urias has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.1% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the past two weeks. In the last two weeks, Ramon Urias's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%. Grading out in the 75th percentile, Ramon Urias has put up a .333 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Anthony Santander has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.2% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last week. Anthony Santander's launch angle this year (23.5°) is significantly higher than his 20° mark last year. In the last 7 days, Anthony Santander's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%. Anthony Santander has compiled a .347 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Chris Taylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Chris Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game. Chris Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 40.4% to 46.7%.

Austin Barnes will hold the platoon advantage over Cade Povich in today's game. Austin Barnes hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Austin Barnes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Colton Cowser is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Miller in today's matchup. Over the past week, Colton Cowser's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Eloy Jimenez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. In the last two weeks, Eloy Jimenez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.4-mph recently. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Eloy Jimenez's true offensive skill to be a .320, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .036 disparity between that mark and his actual .284 wOBA.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Miller in today's matchup. Using Statcast metrics, Gunnar Henderson is in the 95th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .374.

Tommy Edman's batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Edman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Cade Povich. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Miller in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Ryan O'Hearn has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 8.2% to 16.7%.

Miguel Rojas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (92% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Miguel Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Cade Povich today. Miguel Rojas will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Miguel Rojas's 80% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.4%. Based on Statcast metrics, Miguel Rojas is in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .275.

Kike Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against Cade Povich in today's game. Kike Hernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kike Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's game. Kike Hernandez has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 5.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week's worth of games. Kike Hernandez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph EV.

Freddie Freeman has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.