Atlanta @ Philadelphia Picks & Props
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ATL vs PHI Consensus Picks
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Gio Urshela Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Gio Urshela is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The weather forecast projects the best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gio Urshela in today's game.
Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The weather forecast projects the 5th-best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm today. Alec Bohm has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.
Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's game. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Brandon Marsh will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The weather forecast projects the 5th-best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Charlie Morton will hold the platoon advantage over Trea Turner today. Trea Turner has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 6.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week's worth of games.
Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge today. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage today.
Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in baseball. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game. Bryce Harper has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Michael Harris II has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. In the last week, Michael Harris II's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.1% up to 28.6%. In the last 7 days, Michael Harris II's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 106.5-mph lately.
Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Whit Merrifield's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Whit Merrifield has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Whit Merrifield will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.
Travis d'Arnaud Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Travis d'Arnaud is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Travis d'Arnaud will have an advantage today. Among all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. In the last 7 days, Travis d'Arnaud's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 109-mph of late.
Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Orlando Arcia will have an edge in today's game. Orlando Arcia pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Orlando Arcia's launch angle this season (9.1°) is quite a bit better than his 5.5° figure last season. Over the past two weeks, Orlando Arcia's 22.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.4%.
Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ranking in the 84th percentile, Austin Hays has notched a .330 BABIP this year.
Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Marcell Ozuna will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.
Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today.
J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
When assessing his overall offensive talent, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. J.T. Realmuto will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last week, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.2% up to 17.6%.
Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Among all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Over the last week, Matt Olson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.2-mph lately.
Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Jorge Soler will have an edge today. Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.
Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Atlanta
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Ramon Laureano will have the upper hand in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Ramon Laureano has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88-mph figure.
Luke Williams Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Luke Williams will have an advantage in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.
Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Johan Rojas has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
ATL vs PHI Trends
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 away games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 77 of their last 123 games (+30.60 Units / 22% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.45 Units / 40% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 65 away games (+9.04 Units / 11% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 121 games (-43.60 Units / -33% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 109 games (-25.50 Units / -15% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 94 games (-19.70 Units / -17% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 65 away games (-18.05 Units / -23% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 27 away games (-10.50 Units / -34% ROI)
Philadelphia Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 59 games at home (+14.25 Units / 12% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 59 games at home (+13.35 Units / 16% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.15 Units / 25% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+9.80 Units / 23% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-21.95 Units / -23% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 61 games (-20.85 Units / -28% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 82 games (-18.10 Units / -14% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 128 games (-17.00 Units / -12% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 67 games (-14.95 Units / -18% ROI)
ATL vs PHI Top User Picks
More PicksAtlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||
Philadelphia Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | fatrats | 8-2-0 | +21045 |
| 2 | jlayne089 | 5-5-0 | +20155 |
| 3 | jakringle | 4-6-0 | +19940 |
| 4 | Alayne | 9-1-0 | +19467 |
| 5 | dragon5868 | 5-5-0 | +19235 |
| 6 | tonloc4554 | 6-4-0 | +17610 |
| 7 | KSBreview | 6-4-0 | +15789 |
| 8 | JL023 | 3-7-0 | +15387 |
| 9 | DavePaliwoda | 7-3-0 | +15330 |
| 10 | nolajay | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| All Phillies Money Leaders | |||