MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 23, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Houston Astros logo HOU @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Tue, Jun 23 • 4:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Yainer Diaz logo
Yainer Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Yainer Diaz is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB home runs.. Yainer Diaz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Yainer Diaz has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .254 rate is a good deal lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+142)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB home runs.. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.. Kazuma Okamoto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Luke Raley logo
Luke Raley o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Luke Raley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup.. Posting a 92.8-mph average exit velocity over the last two weeks, Luke Raley has been in great form recently.
Total Bases
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Josh Naylor will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Josh Naylor has been lifting the ball well of late, putting up a 23.3° launch angle in the past 7 days.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.. Brandon Nimmo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Putting up a 94-mph average exit velocity over the past 14 days, Brandon Nimmo has been in great form lately.
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Heriberto Hernandez has strong power (81st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (26.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill doesn't generate many whiffs (25th percentile K%) — great news for Hernandez.. Heriberto Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot in recent games, putting up a 97.8-mph average exit velocity in the last week.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ben Rice ranks as the 19th-best batter in MLB.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Ben Rice will have an advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the upper hand today.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Michael Massey logo
Michael Massey o0.5 Total RBIs (+308)
Projection 0.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Michael Massey has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (94% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The #3 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Michael Massey generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane McClanahan.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today.
Total RBIs
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen o0.5 Total RBIs (+308)
Projection 0.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 75th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. The #3 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Among all major league parks, Tropicana Field's RF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today.. Carter Jensen has been hot of late, putting up a 94.5-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks' worth of games.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Tue, Jun 23 • 6:45 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI -1.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

This projects as the best ML/RL bet on the slate today, with a projected ROI of 22% and a fair price roughly 65 cents shorter than the current odds. It's a great matchup for the Phillies against Zack Littell, who owns a 6.31 ERA at home and is coming off a start where he allowed seven runs. Left-handed hitters have crushed him this season, accounting for 16 home runs and an OPS north of 1.000. That's good news for Philadelphia's best bats, which lean heavily to the left side. The Phillies' biggest offensive weakness is strikeouts, and Littell simply doesn't miss many bats. On the other side, Jesus Luzardo has allowed two runs or fewer in six of his last seven starts, and Philadelphia also owns the bullpen edge. Everything lines up for the Phillies to win this game by multiple runs.

Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ New York Mets logo NYM Tue, Jun 23 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity of the day at 81%.. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Dansby Swanson has been lifting the ball well recently, compiling a 30.7° launch angle in the last 14 days.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Tue, Jun 23 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Andrew Vaughn logo
Andrew Vaughn o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (-124)
Projection 2.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jackson Chourio's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Tue, Jun 23 • 7:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Chicago White Sox logo CHW (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Chicago White Sox are one of the league’s best offenses against southpaws, ranking fifth in wOBA, fourth in OPS, and first in ISO.

Parker Messick owns an xFIP of 4.01 and SIERA of 4.25 over the past 30 days. Both of those outputs are well above the 3.21 ERA he has posted, a sign a dip could be coming.

Back the Sox to -115.

Total RBIs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+299)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #7 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Colson Montgomery will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, Jun 23 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+166)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 16th-best batter in the game.. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today.. Freddie Freeman has been hot of late, notching a a 15.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the past two weeks.
Total RBIs
Kyler Fedko logo
Kyler Fedko o0.5 Total RBIs (+278)
Projection 0.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Kyler Fedko will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Wrobleski in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyler Fedko will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jun 23 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Geraldo Perdomo o0.5 Total RBIs (+272)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences in MLB.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Kyle Leahy.. Among every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corbin Carroll projects as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences in MLB.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Corbin Carroll will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Leahy today.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Jun 23 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (-125)
Projection 2.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 81°.
Total Bases
Kyle Karros logo
Kyle Karros o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Karros's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 81°.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Karros will hold that advantage today.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Tue, Jun 23 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Logan O'Hoppe logo
Logan O'Hoppe o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences among all stadiums.. This contest is expected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Logan O'Hoppe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Logan O'Hoppe has been hot recently, compiling a a 15.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) in the last week.
Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jo Adell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences among all stadiums.. This contest is expected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jo Adell will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ San Diego Padres logo SD Tue, Jun 23 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average talent, Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 13th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that JR Ritchie throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand in today's game.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Tue, Jun 23 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Tyler Soderstrom logo
Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
Total Bases
Zack Gelof logo
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+163)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Zack Gelof is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Zack Gelof will have the upper hand in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ New York Mets logo NYM Wed, Jun 24 • 1:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo New York Mets logo o8.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Chicago is hot at the dish with a fifth-ranked wOBA, ISO and xwOBA over the past two weeks while averaging 5.7 runs per game, and New York has statistical correction coming offensively. The Mets rank 23rd in BABIP with their .311 wOBA below their 12th-ranked .321 xwOBA to go along with a sixth-ranked hard-hit rate across the past 30 days.

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Cubs are heating up at the dish with a fifth-ranked wOBA, ISO and xwOBA over the past two weeks while averaging 5.7 runs per game. Chicago lefty Shota Imanaga has also flipped the script with just a single run allowed and opposing hitters limited to a miniscule 19.3% squared-up contact rate and 3.5% blast contact rate across 10 2/3 innings over his past two starts. The Cubbies should also have their way with struggling New York Mets righty Kodai Senga. His 5.12 xERA ranks in the 17th percentile, and he has negative pitch values on three of his most frequent four offerings, after all.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: yesterday
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 4 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.