Milwaukee @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (4°) is considerably worse than his 10.2° angle last season. Over the last 7 days, Brice Turang's 25% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46%.

Hitting from the same side that Rhett Lowder throws from, William Contreras encounters a tough challenge in today's game. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for William Contreras today. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, falling from 9.6% on the season to 6.5% in the last two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) implies that William Contreras has been very fortunate this year with his .285 actual batting average.

Hitting from the same side that Rhett Lowder throws from, Willy Adames has a tough challenge today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Willy Adames in today's matchup. Willy Adames has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .252 figure is quite a bit higher than his .234 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Amed Rosario has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today's game. Amed Rosario hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers. Amed Rosario's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 86.5-mph seasonal average has dropped to 83.5-mph in the last week. There has been a significant decline in Amed Rosario's launch angle from last season's 7.5° to 3.2° this year.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in the majors are found in Great American Ball Park. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Elly De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in the majors are found in Great American Ball Park. Jonathan India will hold the platoon advantage against D.L. Hall in today's game.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 48.3% to 42.3%. Tyler Stephenson has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .351 mark is inflated compared to his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Blake Perkins's BABIP talent is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Blake Perkins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #5 field in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Blake Perkins has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Batting from the same side that Rhett Lowder throws from, Jackson Chourio faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Jackson Chourio's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 41.8% on the season to 63.2% in the last week. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jackson Chourio ranks in just the 9th percentile with a 7.3° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell as the 17th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #5 field in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams in action today. Posting a .324 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Garrett Mitchell finds himself in the 78th percentile.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in the majors are found in Great American Ball Park. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams in action today. Andruw Monasterio's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (16.6°) is quite a bit better than his 10.6° figure last season. Andruw Monasterio has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .279 mark is a fair amount lower than his .311 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Ty France is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in the majors are found in Great American Ball Park. Batting from the opposite that D.L. Hall throws from, Ty France will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Sal Frelick's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park ranks as the #5 field in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams in action today. Sal Frelick's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 40.9% on the season to 61.5% in the past week.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Noelvi Marte will hold the platoon advantage over D.L. Hall in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Noelvi Marte's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (19.7° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 7.4° seasonal figure. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Noelvi Marte's true offensive ability to be a .290, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .050 disparity between that mark and his actual .240 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Spencer Steer will have the handedness advantage against D.L. Hall in today's matchup. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Santiago Espinal will hold the platoon advantage over D.L. Hall in today's matchup. Santiago Espinal has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Santiago Espinal will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #5 field in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). T.J. Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. T.J. Friedl will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. T.J. Friedl has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 88.7-mph average to last season's 86.7-mph average. T.J. Friedl's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (11.3°) is a significant increase over his 5.8° angle last year.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Eric Haase pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams in action today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.267) implies that Eric Haase has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .252 actual wOBA.

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #5 field in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge in today's game. Jake Bauers pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 venue in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that D.L. Hall throws from, Rece Hinds will have an edge today. Rece Hinds has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Rece Hinds will hold that advantage today. Ranking in the 93rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.19 ft/sec this year, Rece Hinds is remarkably athletic.

Rhys Hoskins has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.