New York @ Chicago Picks & Props

Dominic Fletcher will probably have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Dominic Fletcher has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today. Dominic Fletcher will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Dominic Fletcher's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 21.9% on the season to 27.8% in the past week's worth of games.

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league parks. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Jacob Amaya will have an edge today. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jacob Amaya will hold that advantage today.

Andrew Benintendi's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andrew Benintendi has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Andrew Benintendi has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will bat from his bad side against Davis Martin today. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Lindor in today's matchup.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Brandon Nimmo has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week. Brandon Nimmo's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 93.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 75.6-mph over the past week. Brandon Nimmo's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (3.9° over the past 14 days) is significantly worse than his 9.8° seasonal figure.

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league parks. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Korey Lee will have the upper hand today. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today. Korey Lee will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Corey Julks is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league parks. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Corey Julks will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana today. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the past week, Pete Alonso's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 23.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Starling Marte has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Starling Marte's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 42.4% to 50%. In the last 14 days, Starling Marte's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Mark Vientos is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league parks. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Barrel% of Mark Vientos has significantly improved, with an increase from 10.7% last year to 15.7% this year.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have the upper hand today. Lenyn Sosa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today. Lenyn Sosa will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league parks. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gavin Sheets has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Luis Robert's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Robert is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Luis Robert will have an advantage in today's matchup. Luis Robert pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league parks. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Miguel Vargas will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana today. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league parks. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage against Davis Martin today. Jeff McNeil has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 3.2% seasonal rate to 10% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). J.D. Martinez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, J.D. Martinez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 15.2% to 20.8%. J.D. Martinez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league parks. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Andrew Vaughn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game.

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league parks. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Francisco Alvarez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 90-mph. Francisco Alvarez has posted a .315 BABIP this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Jesse Winker will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jesse Winker has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.