Baltimore @ Colorado Picks & Props

20% of the time that Ryan O'Hearn has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Ryan O'Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Ryan O'Hearn's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (1.4° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably worse than his 13.3° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Anthony Santander will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Anthony Santander's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 37.4% on the season to 25% over the last two weeks. Utilizing Statcast data, Anthony Santander grades out in the 21st percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .227.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Colton Cowser will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph dropping to 87.6-mph in the past week's worth of games.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Ryan Feltner Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Adley Rutschman's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 88.5-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 83.9-mph in the last 7 days. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Adley Rutschman's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 14.9°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Gunnar Henderson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%. Gunnar Henderson's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 92.8-mph seasonal average has dropped to 85.7-mph over the last 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson's true offensive ability to be a .363, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .015 difference between that mark and his actual .378 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°. Batting from the same side that Trevor Rogers throws from, Nolan Jones encounters a tough challenge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°.

Ramon Urias is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup. 11% of the time that Ramon Urias has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Ryan Feltner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ramon Urias in today's game. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ramon Urias in today's game.

Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Drew Romo will hold that advantage in today's game.

Charlie Blackmon is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°. Batting from the same side that Trevor Rogers throws from, Charlie Blackmon meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.

Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°. Michael Toglia will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Michael Toglia has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last season's 91-mph figure.

Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Ryan Feltner will hold the platoon advantage over Eloy Jimenez in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eloy Jimenez in today's matchup. Eloy Jimenez has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.

Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Brendan Rodgers will have an edge in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among every team today. Brendan Rodgers has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 82.4-mph over the past week. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 19.7% to 11.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jake Cave has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°. Hitting from the same side that Trevor Rogers throws from, Jake Cave will be in a tough position in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #1 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°. Jordan Beck will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Brenton Doyle will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Rogers in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among every team today. Brenton Doyle has been lucky this year, posting a .345 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .043 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°. Jackson Holliday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner today.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Ezequiel Tovar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among every team today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some positive variance this year. His .323 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .281. With a 10.1 K/BB rate this year, Ezequiel Tovar has shown bad plate discipline, grading out in the 0th percentile.