Toronto @ Minnesota Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ernie Clement is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Over the last 14 days, Ernie Clement's 25.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%.

This contest is forecasted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Yariel Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Miranda today. Today, Jose Miranda is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.8% rate (93rd percentile). Over the last week, Jose Miranda's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jose Miranda's true offensive talent to be a .310, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .037 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .347 wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Despite posting a .279 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Davis Schneider has had some very poor luck given the .039 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318. This year, Davis Schneider's 11.8% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 82nd percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Will Wagner will have an advantage in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Wagner has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball batters like Will Wagner generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Edouard Julien will have an advantage in today's matchup. Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Edouard Julien's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 49.6% on the season to 60% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Austin Martin will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Austin Martin has experienced some negative variance this year. His .248 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .280. Sporting a 2.07 K/BB rate this year, Austin Martin has displayed good plate discipline, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Ober in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Addison Barger will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Addison Barger is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitters such as Vladimir Guerrero Jr. with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Ober who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. George Springer has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.9% seasonal rate to 17.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Ober in today's matchup. Spencer Horwitz is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Joey Loperfido will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Ober today. Joey Loperfido is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Matt Wallner is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Matt Wallner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage today. Royce Lewis's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 12.3% to 20.9%. In notching a .359 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Royce Lewis is ranked in the 94th percentile for offensive ability.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Brooks Lee will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Alejandro Kirk's launch angle this year (9.4°) is quite a bit better than his 6.2° angle last year. Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alejandro Kirk has suffered from bad luck given the .032 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Brian Serven has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 25.14 ft/sec to 25.96 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today. Willi Castro has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week.

Nathan Lukes is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an edge today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Extreme groundball bats like Nathan Lukes are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage today.

Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage today. Ryan Jeffers's launch angle of late (22.2° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 16° seasonal figure. By putting up a .340 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Jeffers is positioned in the 79th percentile.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Carlos Santana will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Posting a 1.67 K/BB rate this year, Carlos Santana has shown favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 89th percentile.