Final Sep 18
OAK 5 +156 o7.5
CHC 3 -170 u7.5
Final Sep 18
AZ 9 -175 o11.0
COL 4 +160 u11.0
Final (13) Sep 18
CHW 3 +122 o8.5
LAA 4 -132 u8.5
Final Sep 18
SF 5 +145 o7.5
BAL 3 -158 u7.5
Final Sep 18
HOU 0 -102 o6.5
SD 4 -106 u6.5
Final Sep 18
LAD 8 -193 o9.0
MIA 4 +176 u9.0
Final (10) Sep 18
MIN 4 +118 o7.0
CLE 5 -128 u7.0
Final Sep 18
ATL 7 -130 o8.5
CIN 1 +120 u8.5
Final Sep 18
BOS 2 -101 o7.5
TB 1 -107 u7.5
Final Sep 18
WAS 0 +151 o7.0
NYM 10 -165 u7.0
Final Sep 18
DET 4 -135 o8.0
KC 2 +124 u8.0
Final Sep 18
PHI 1 -102 o7.5
MIL 2 -106 u7.5
Final Sep 18
PIT 5 +183 o7.5
STL 10 -201 u7.5
Final Sep 18
TOR 0 -100 o8.0
TEX 2 -108 u8.0
Final (10) Sep 18
NYY 2 -112 o7.5
SEA 1 +104 u7.5
Bally Sports Network, Sportsnet

Toronto @ Minnesota props

Target Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

E. Clement
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-156
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-156
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ernie Clement is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Over the last 14 days, Ernie Clement's 25.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%.

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ernie Clement is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Over the last 14 days, Ernie Clement's 25.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%.

Jose Miranda Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Miranda
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

This contest is forecasted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Yariel Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Miranda today. Today, Jose Miranda is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.8% rate (93rd percentile). Over the last week, Jose Miranda's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jose Miranda's true offensive talent to be a .310, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .037 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .347 wOBA.

Jose Miranda

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

This contest is forecasted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Yariel Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Miranda today. Today, Jose Miranda is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.8% rate (93rd percentile). Over the last week, Jose Miranda's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jose Miranda's true offensive talent to be a .310, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .037 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .347 wOBA.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Schneider
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Despite posting a .279 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Davis Schneider has had some very poor luck given the .039 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318. This year, Davis Schneider's 11.8% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 82nd percentile among his peers.

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Despite posting a .279 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Davis Schneider has had some very poor luck given the .039 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318. This year, Davis Schneider's 11.8% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 82nd percentile among his peers.

Will Wagner Total Hits Props • Toronto

W. Wagner
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-156
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-156
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Will Wagner will have an advantage in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Wagner has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball batters like Will Wagner generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Will Wagner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Will Wagner will have an advantage in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Wagner has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball batters like Will Wagner generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Barger
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Addison Barger will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Addison Barger is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Addison Barger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Addison Barger will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Addison Barger is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

E. Julien
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Edouard Julien will have an advantage in today's matchup. Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Edouard Julien's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 49.6% on the season to 60% over the past two weeks.

Edouard Julien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Edouard Julien will have an advantage in today's matchup. Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Edouard Julien's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 49.6% on the season to 60% over the past two weeks.

Joey Loperfido Total Hits Props • Toronto

J. Loperfido
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Joey Loperfido will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Ober today. Joey Loperfido is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Joey Loperfido

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Joey Loperfido will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Ober today. Joey Loperfido is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-133
Projection Rating

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Ober in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Ober in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Austin Martin Total Hits Props • Minnesota

A. Martin
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-133
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Austin Martin will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Austin Martin has experienced some negative variance this year. His .248 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .280. Sporting a 2.07 K/BB rate this year, Austin Martin has displayed good plate discipline, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Austin Martin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Austin Martin will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Austin Martin has experienced some negative variance this year. His .248 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .280. Sporting a 2.07 K/BB rate this year, Austin Martin has displayed good plate discipline, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Toronto

S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-162
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-162
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Ober in today's matchup. Spencer Horwitz is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Ober in today's matchup. Spencer Horwitz is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

As it relates to his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitters such as Vladimir Guerrero Jr. with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Ober who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

As it relates to his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitters such as Vladimir Guerrero Jr. with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Ober who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. George Springer has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.9% seasonal rate to 17.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. George Springer has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.9% seasonal rate to 17.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-123
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-123
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Matt Wallner is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Matt Wallner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage today.

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Matt Wallner is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Matt Wallner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage today.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Lewis
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage today. Royce Lewis's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 12.3% to 20.9%. In notching a .359 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Royce Lewis is ranked in the 94th percentile for offensive ability.

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage today. Royce Lewis's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 12.3% to 20.9%. In notching a .359 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Royce Lewis is ranked in the 94th percentile for offensive ability.

Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota

B. Lee
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Brooks Lee will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Brooks Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Brooks Lee will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Alejandro Kirk's launch angle this year (9.4°) is quite a bit better than his 6.2° angle last year. Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alejandro Kirk has suffered from bad luck given the .032 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Alejandro Kirk's launch angle this year (9.4°) is quite a bit better than his 6.2° angle last year. Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alejandro Kirk has suffered from bad luck given the .032 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

Nathan Lukes Total Hits Props • Toronto

N. Lukes
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Nathan Lukes is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an edge today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Extreme groundball bats like Nathan Lukes are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Nathan Lukes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nathan Lukes is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an edge today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Extreme groundball bats like Nathan Lukes are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Brian Serven Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Serven
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Brian Serven has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 25.14 ft/sec to 25.96 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Brian Serven

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Brian Serven has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 25.14 ft/sec to 25.96 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

T. Larnach
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

W. Castro
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today. Willi Castro has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today. Willi Castro has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage today. Ryan Jeffers's launch angle of late (22.2° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 16° seasonal figure. By putting up a .340 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Jeffers is positioned in the 79th percentile.

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage today. Ryan Jeffers's launch angle of late (22.2° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 16° seasonal figure. By putting up a .340 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Jeffers is positioned in the 79th percentile.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Kepler
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage today.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage today.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Santana
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Carlos Santana will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Posting a 1.67 K/BB rate this year, Carlos Santana has shown favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 89th percentile.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Carlos Santana will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Posting a 1.67 K/BB rate this year, Carlos Santana has shown favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 89th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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