Boston @ New York Picks & Props

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Nick Sogard will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against David Peterson today. Nick Sogard pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Triston Casas is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Triston Casas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Among every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. With a .355 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Triston Casas is positioned in the 91st percentile. Triston Casas has recorded a .315 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 79th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best batter in the game. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Rafael Devers will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Rafael Devers has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Masataka Yoshida will probably have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Masataka Yoshida grades out in the 76th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .336.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Jarren Duran is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Jarren Duran is likely to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte as the 20th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP ability. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Extreme flyball hitters like Starling Marte generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kutter Crawford. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today.

Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Danny Jansen will have an advantage today. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Danny Jansen tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Danny Jansen's launch angle this season (23.2°) is a significant increase over his 19.5° figure last season.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jose Iglesias's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Batters such as Jose Iglesias with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kutter Crawford who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today. Jose Iglesias will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Connor Wong will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. In the last 7 days, Connor Wong's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.3%. With a .341 BABIP this year, Connor Wong grades out in the 93rd percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Pete Alonso ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Jesse Winker will hold the platoon advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Jesse Winker has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today. Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Rob Refsnyder will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Ceddanne Rafaela's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 16.3% on the season to 40% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have an edge in today's game. Tyler O'Neill pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Romy Gonzalez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Romy Gonzalez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Tyrone Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.