Washington @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Today, Luis Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.7% rate (95th percentile). Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Garcia today. Despite posting a .334 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Garcia has experienced some positive variance given the .017 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Kyle Stowers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Kyle Stowers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Kyle Stowers has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.3-mph EV. In the past week, Kyle Stowers has displayed impressive power, recording a a 15.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power).

Otto Lopez is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup. When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Otto Lopez has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Otto Lopez ranks in just the 2nd percentile with a 4.6° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the league. Grading out in the 6th percentile, Otto Lopez has notched a .265 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Jake Burger pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Jake Burger's launch angle of late (4.8° over the last 7 days) is significantly worse than his 12.8° seasonal mark. Sporting a 4.48 K/BB rate this year, Jake Burger has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 11th percentile.

Jacob Young's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.276) provides evidence that Jacob Young has been unlucky this year with his .258 actual batting average. By putting up a .323 BABIP this year, Jacob Young has performed in the 84th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jesus Sanchez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 13.1% seasonal rate to 18.5% in the last two weeks.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Connor Norby has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 12.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 7.7% in the last week. Connor Norby's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 84.1-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 81.9-mph over the last week. Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Connor Norby has experienced some positive variance given the .054 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Today, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.8% rate (88th percentile).

Andres Chaparro is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits. Andres Chaparro hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Andres Chaparro has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph figure. Andres Chaparro's launch angle in recent games (29° in the past week) is significantly better than his 18.6° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits. David Hensley will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and David Hensley will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, David Hensley has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .220 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .238.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 8th-best batter in the league when it comes to his BABIP skill. James Wood is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. James Wood will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Dylan Crews is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. Dylan Crews has been hot recently, posting a a 17.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) over the last 7 days. Dylan Crews has exhibited some good exit velocity benchmarks in recent games, averaging 101.4-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks.

The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Batting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. An inconsistent launch angle is commonly a measure of bad hitting skills, and CJ Abrams has been very inconsistent with his recently, posting a 22.4° launch angle standard deviation over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits. Cristian Pache will hold the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Cristian Pache will hold that advantage today. Cristian Pache's footspeed has gotten better this season. His 27.84 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.44 ft/sec now. Ranked in the 85th percentile, Cristian Pache has one of the highest average exit velocities in the league since the start of last season (90.7-mph).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Derek Hill is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Derek Hill will have an edge in today's matchup. Derek Hill will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Joey Gallo will have an advantage in today's game. Joey Gallo is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Joey Gallo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 38.8% on the season to 56.3% over the last two weeks.

Jose Tena's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Tena is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jose Tena will hold the platoon advantage over Max Meyer today. Jose Tena has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jonah Bride is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jonah Bride will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jonah Bride will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Sporting a .322 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jonah Bride finds himself in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Nick Fortes will have an edge in today's game. Nick Fortes will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes's true offensive ability to be a .268, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .028 deviation between that figure and his actual .240 wOBA.

The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Max Meyer. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this year (19.9°) is significantly better than his 15.1° figure last season. Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky this year, notching a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .033 disparity.

Griffin Conine has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.