BAL -112 o8.5
DET +104 u8.5
CIN +160 o8.5
MIN -175 u8.5
BOS +153 o8.5
NYY -167 u8.5
NYM +110 o8.0
PHI -119 u8.0
KC -104 o8.0
PIT -104 u8.0
MIA +157 o8.5
WAS -172 u8.5
STL +105 o8.5
TOR -114 u8.5
TB +117 o8.0
CLE -127 u8.0
OAK -177 o8.5
CHW +162 u8.5
CHC -126 o11.5
COL +117 u11.5
SD -113 o8.5
SF +104 u8.5
HOU -187 o9.0
LAA +170 u9.0
MIL +140 o8.5
AZ -153 u8.5
TEX +143 o7.0
SEA -156 u7.0
LAD -102 o9.0
ATL -106 u9.0
Marquee Sports Network, SNP

Pittsburgh @ Chicago props

Wrigley Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field dimensions in the league. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 6th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Over the past week, Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.6-mph over the course of the season to 95.8-mph in recent games. Over the last week, Bryan Reynolds's 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field dimensions in the league. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 6th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Over the past week, Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.6-mph over the course of the season to 95.8-mph in recent games. Over the last week, Bryan Reynolds's 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Paul Skenes today. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Paul Skenes today. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Michael Busch is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes today. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's game.

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Michael Busch is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes today. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's game.

Cody Bellinger Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

C. Bellinger
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game. Bats such as Cody Bellinger with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Paul Skenes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Cody Bellinger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game. Bats such as Cody Bellinger with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Paul Skenes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. De La Cruz
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Bryan De La Cruz has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph average. Bryan De La Cruz's launch angle recently (19.9° in the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 13.9° seasonal angle. Last season, Bryan De La Cruz had an average launch angle of 12.3° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 17.2°.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Bryan De La Cruz has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph average. Bryan De La Cruz's launch angle recently (19.9° in the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 13.9° seasonal angle. Last season, Bryan De La Cruz had an average launch angle of 12.3° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 17.2°.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Pete Crow-Armstrong will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Pete Crow-Armstrong will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Joe
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. In the past 7 days, Connor Joe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.5-mph over the course of the season to 106.8-mph in recent games. In the last 14 days, Connor Joe has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 33.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 8.3°.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. In the past 7 days, Connor Joe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.5-mph over the course of the season to 106.8-mph in recent games. In the last 14 days, Connor Joe has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 33.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 8.3°.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

N. Hoerner
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Nico Hoerner will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 44.3% on the season to 62.5% in the last week.

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Nico Hoerner will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 44.3% on the season to 62.5% in the last week.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Andrew McCutchen pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Andrew McCutchen has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12.8% seasonal rate to 37.5% in the last 7 days.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Andrew McCutchen pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Andrew McCutchen has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12.8% seasonal rate to 37.5% in the last 7 days.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

I. Kiner-Falefa
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Last season, Isiah Kiner-Falefa had an average launch angle of 4.3° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 9.7°. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has compiled a .275 batting average this year, placing in the 84th percentile.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Last season, Isiah Kiner-Falefa had an average launch angle of 4.3° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 9.7°. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has compiled a .275 batting average this year, placing in the 84th percentile.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

I. Paredes
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.6% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Isaac Paredes tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Skenes. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.6% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Isaac Paredes tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Skenes. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Dansby Swanson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Dansby Swanson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

O. Cruz
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Justin Steele will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Oneil Cruz in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Justin Steele will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Oneil Cruz in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Christian Bethancourt Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

C. Bethancourt
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Christian Bethancourt will hold that advantage today. Compared to last season, Christian Bethancourt has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.2% to 21.3% this season.

Christian Bethancourt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Among every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Christian Bethancourt will hold that advantage today. Compared to last season, Christian Bethancourt has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.2% to 21.3% this season.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Triolo
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-169
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-169
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Jared Triolo has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 90.6-mph over the past 14 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.9°, Jared Triolo has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.8° figure in the last two weeks. Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .205 mark is a good deal lower than his .235 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Jared Triolo has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 90.6-mph over the past 14 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.9°, Jared Triolo has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.8° figure in the last two weeks. Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .205 mark is a good deal lower than his .235 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Rowdy Tellez Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

R. Tellez
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Justin Steele throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rowdy Tellez stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Over the past two weeks, Rowdy Tellez's 38.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.9%.

Rowdy Tellez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Justin Steele throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rowdy Tellez stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Over the past two weeks, Rowdy Tellez's 38.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.9%.

Nick Gonzales Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

N. Gonzales
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Nick Gonzales's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 46.5% on the season to 70% over the last two weeks. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Nick Gonzales has suffered from bad luck this year. His .295 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

Nick Gonzales

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Nick Gonzales's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 46.5% on the season to 70% over the last two weeks. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Nick Gonzales has suffered from bad luck this year. His .295 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

Miguel Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Amaya
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Among every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.8°, Miguel Amaya has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.9° mark in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Miguel Amaya

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Among every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.8°, Miguel Amaya has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.9° mark in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Yasmani Grandal Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Y. Grandal
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Yasmani Grandal has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past 14 days. Yasmani Grandal has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure. Over the last two weeks, Yasmani Grandal's 64.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.7%.

Yasmani Grandal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Yasmani Grandal has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past 14 days. Yasmani Grandal has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure. Over the last two weeks, Yasmani Grandal's 64.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.7%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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