Boston @ New York Picks & Props

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. In the past 7 days, Connor Wong's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.3%. Checking in at the 93rd percentile, Connor Wong sports a .341 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Tyler O'Neill pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Tyler O'Neill has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.7-mph average to last season's 92.8-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jesse Winker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Jesse Winker will have the upper hand today. Jesse Winker has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Triston Casas is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup. Triston Casas is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best batter in MLB. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today's matchup. Rafael Devers may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Rafael Devers has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Jarren Duran is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Pete Alonso will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Starling Marte is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Out of every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Starling Marte's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 22.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Over the past 7 days, Ceddanne Rafaela's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.3%. Ceddanne Rafaela and his 17.5° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in the majors this year.

Jeff McNeil's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Tanner Houck throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Houck today. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an edge in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Out of every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Francisco Alvarez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Out of every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jose Iglesias's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Out of every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Jose Iglesias will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 89th percentile, Jose Iglesias sports a .348 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Tylor Megill in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Wilyer Abreu can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Wilyer Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today.

Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Enmanuel Valdez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Enmanuel Valdez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Enmanuel Valdez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last year's 87.5-mph average.

Nick Sogard has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Tyrone Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Harrison Bader has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.