Final Sep 15
BAL 2 -105 o8.5
DET 4 -103 u8.5
Final Sep 15
CIN 2 +153 o9.0
MIN 9 -166 u9.0
Final Sep 15
BOS 2 +150 o8.0
NYY 5 -164 u8.0
Final Sep 15
NYM 1 +119 o8.0
PHI 2 -129 u8.0
Final Sep 15
KC 3 +100 o7.5
PIT 4 -108 u7.5
Final Sep 15
MIA 3 +152 o8.5
WAS 4 -166 u8.5
Final Sep 15
STL 2 +109 o8.0
TOR 3 -118 u8.0
Final Sep 15
TB 0 +110 o8.0
CLE 2 -119 u8.0
Final Sep 15
OAK 3 -160 o8.0
CHW 4 +147 u8.0
Final Sep 15
CHC 6 -135 o11.5
COL 2 +125 u11.5
Final (10) Sep 15
SD 4 -108 o8.0
SF 3 -100 u8.0
Final Sep 15
HOU 6 -195 o9.0
LAA 4 +177 u9.0
Final (10) Sep 15
MIL 10 +146 o8.5
AZ 11 -159 u8.5
Final Sep 15
TEX 0 +144 o7.0
SEA 7 -157 u7.0
Final Sep 15
LAD 9 -110 o8.5
ATL 2 +102 u8.5
Bally Sports Network, FS1

Cleveland @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-185
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-185
Projection Rating

Ben Lively will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Lively's large platoon split. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's deepest RF fences today. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the best among every team on the slate today. Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.3°, Bobby Witt Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.3°) over the last 14 days. Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, compiling a .417 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .379 — a .038 deviation.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Ben Lively will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Lively's large platoon split. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's deepest RF fences today. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the best among every team on the slate today. Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.3°, Bobby Witt Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.3°) over the last 14 days. Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, compiling a .417 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .379 — a .038 deviation.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-189
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-189
Projection Rating

Steven Kwan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 4th-deepest LF fences today. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Steven Kwan's launch angle in recent games (5° over the last week) is quite a bit lower than his 14.6° seasonal figure. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan's true offensive ability to be a .310, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .037 deviation between that figure and his actual .347 wOBA.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Steven Kwan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 4th-deepest LF fences today. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Steven Kwan's launch angle in recent games (5° over the last week) is quite a bit lower than his 14.6° seasonal figure. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan's true offensive ability to be a .310, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .037 deviation between that figure and his actual .347 wOBA.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-213
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-213
Projection Rating

In Major League Baseball, Kauffman Stadium's RF dimensions are the deepest. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andres Gimenez today. Andres Gimenez's launch angle this season (9.1°) is a considerable dropoff from his 12.9° mark last year. In the past week's worth of games, Andres Gimenez's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.7%. Andres Gimenez has posted a .275 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 12th percentile.

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

In Major League Baseball, Kauffman Stadium's RF dimensions are the deepest. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andres Gimenez today. Andres Gimenez's launch angle this season (9.1°) is a considerable dropoff from his 12.9° mark last year. In the past week's worth of games, Andres Gimenez's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.7%. Andres Gimenez has posted a .275 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 12th percentile.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-256
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-256
Projection Rating

In today's game, Jose Ramirez is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.4% rate (99th percentile). Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Jose Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 91-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 88.7-mph in the last 7 days. From last season to this one, Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 44.3% to 39.1%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) implies that Jose Ramirez has had positive variance on his side this year with his .275 actual batting average.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

In today's game, Jose Ramirez is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.4% rate (99th percentile). Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Jose Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 91-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 88.7-mph in the last 7 days. From last season to this one, Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 44.3% to 39.1%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) implies that Jose Ramirez has had positive variance on his side this year with his .275 actual batting average.

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Michael Massey is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage over Ben Lively in today's matchup... and moreover, Lively has a large platoon split.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Michael Massey is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage over Ben Lively in today's matchup... and moreover, Lively has a large platoon split.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Maikel Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Maikel Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Naylor
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Bo Naylor will have the upper hand today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.

Bo Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Bo Naylor will have the upper hand today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.

Jhonkensy Noel Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Noel
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

Jhonkensy Noel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.

Jhonkensy Noel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jhonkensy Noel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.

Brayan Rocchio Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Rocchio
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.

Brayan Rocchio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.

Kyle Manzardo Total Hits Props • Cleveland

K. Manzardo
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.

Kyle Manzardo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Kansas City

T. Pham
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Tommy Pham ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Tommy Pham ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Josh Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Naylor
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Josh Naylor ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Josh Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Josh Naylor ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Because of Ben Lively's large platoon split, Kyle Isbel will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Because of Ben Lively's large platoon split, Kyle Isbel will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

F. Fermin
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Freddy Fermin will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Freddy Fermin has put up a .333 BABIP this year, checking in at the 89th percentile.

Freddy Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Freddy Fermin will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Freddy Fermin has put up a .333 BABIP this year, checking in at the 89th percentile.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-263
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-263
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Daniel Schneemann Total Hits Props • Cleveland

D. Schneemann
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Daniel Schneemann grades out in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.6% rate this year).

Daniel Schneemann

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Daniel Schneemann grades out in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.6% rate this year).

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Kansas City

P. DeJong
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Paul DeJong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the league for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Paul DeJong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Because of Ben Lively's large platoon split, MJ Melendez will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Because of Ben Lively's large platoon split, MJ Melendez will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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