Philadelphia @ Miami Picks & Props

The #4 park in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Cristian Pache will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Cristian Pache's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.8% up to 20%. In the past week, Cristian Pache's 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 10.8%.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera today. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Bryce Harper has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 2.9% in the last 14 days.

The #4 park in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today. Over the past two weeks, Kyle Stowers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 101.3-mph in recent games.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Nick Castellanos has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will be challenged by the league's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Castellanos today. In the last week's worth of games, Nick Castellanos's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trea Turner in today's game. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 15.8% on the season to 0% over the past 14 days. This season, there has been a decline in Trea Turner's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.23 ft/sec last year to 29.52 ft/sec currently. Trea Turner has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .296 rate is a fair amount higher than his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits. Griffin Conine will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Griffin Conine will hold that advantage today. In the last two weeks, Griffin Conine's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.6% up to 17.6%. Griffin Conine has exhibited some good exit velocity metrics of late, averaging 101.1-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #4 park in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Otto Lopez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The #4 park in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Edward Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage over Johan Rojas in today's game. Johan Rojas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Johan Rojas has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 29.35 ft/sec to 30.08 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Johan Rojas has been unlucky this year, posting a .256 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .276 — a .020 deviation.

Connor Norby's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Norby is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 park in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In MLB, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The #4 park in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage today. Utilizing Statcast data, Jake Burger is in the 76th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .334.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #4 park in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jonah Bride will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jonah Bride has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 89th percentile with a 1.71 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #4 park in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. J.T. Realmuto has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 14 days. J.T. Realmuto has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits. In the past 7 days, Brandon Marsh's 70% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.2%. Brandon Marsh is in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48.2% rate this year). With a .357 BABIP this year, Brandon Marsh has performed in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits. Bryson Stott's launch angle this year (14.4°) is a significant increase over his 9.9° mark last year. In terms of plate discipline, Bryson Stott's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.66 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 90th percentile.

The #4 park in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In MLB, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Jhonny Pereda will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits. Xavier Edwards will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Xavier Edwards has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 96th percentile with a 1.36 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits. Kody Clemens has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 90.9-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits. Kyle Schwarber has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 14.4% seasonal rate to 25% over the last two weeks. Kyle Schwarber has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.1-mph to 101.5-mph in the last 7 days.