Seattle @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Mitch Haniger hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mitch Haniger has been unlucky this year, putting up a .278 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .033 discrepancy. This year, Mitch Haniger has an average exit velocity of 90.5 mph, which ranks among the best in baseball at the 75th percentile.

Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge in today's game. J.P. Crawford hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 13% to 16.5%. J.P. Crawford has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .195 BA is a good deal lower than his .239 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dylan Moore has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Over the past two weeks, Dylan Moore's 53.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.8%. Dylan Moore has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .205 rate is quite a bit lower than his .220 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Paul Goldschmidt will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Paul Goldschmidt's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 23.8%. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.5-mph EV.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (28.5° in the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 20.7° seasonal mark. In the past 14 days, Jorge Polanco's maximum exit velocity (a strong measure of recent form and raw power) has been 110.1-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the league. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Polanco has had bad variance on his side this year. His .284 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .325.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Luke Raley will have an advantage today. Luke Raley hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Luke Raley has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.1% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Compared to last season, Julio Rodriguez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.9% to 16.1% this season. In the past two weeks, Julio Rodriguez's 29.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%. Despite posting a .305 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has experienced some negative variance given the .055 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .360.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Randy Arozarena's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 93.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 89.8-mph in the last week. In the last two weeks, Randy Arozarena's 23.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%. Randy Arozarena has been unlucky this year, notching a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .342 — a .021 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage today. Alec Burleson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Alec Burleson's 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jordan Walker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jordan Walker has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year's 89.4-mph figure. Jordan Walker has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.2-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 92.7-mph.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Masyn Winn has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph to 90.9-mph in the last week. Posting a .276 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Masyn Winn has performed in the 86th percentile. Placing in the 83rd percentile, Masyn Winn sports a .274 batting average this year.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 45% on the season to 70% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brendan Donovan's average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 88.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 86.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In comparison to his 89.1-mph average last year, Lars Nootbaar's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.9 mph.

Victor Robles is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Victor Robles has put up a .347 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 89th percentile. Victor Robles has notched a .296 batting average this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Cal Raleigh's launch angle of late (26.7° over the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 21.2° seasonal mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.339) implies that Cal Raleigh has experienced some negative variance this year with his .311 actual wOBA.

In the last 7 days, Justin Turner's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.2%. In terms of plate discipline, Justin Turner's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.6 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 91st percentile.