Toronto @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Since the start of last season, Nathan Lukes has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 45% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nathan Lukes in today's game. With a .235 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nathan Lukes is ranked in the 9th percentile for offensive skills. Sporting a .165 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nathan Lukes has performed in the 6th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The #5 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

Jose Berrios will hold the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today's game. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences today. In the past 7 days, Marcell Ozuna's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.4% down to 0%. Marcell Ozuna has been lucky this year, notching a .402 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .054 deviation.

Jarred Kelenic's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Truist Park ranks as the #5 field in the game for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The #5 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

The #5 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in the game as it relates to his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #5 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Will Wagner is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Truist Park ranks as the #5 field in the game for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Truist Park ranks as the #5 field in the game for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Spencer Horwitz's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Truist Park ranks as the #5 field in the game for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Travis d'Arnaud is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.9-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Sean Murphy will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The #5 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

The #5 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Luke Williams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Truist Park ranks as the #5 field in the game for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Michael Harris II has notched a .285 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 17th percentile. Posting a 4.54 K/BB rate this year, Michael Harris II has displayed poor plate discipline, grading out in the 11th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Truist Park ranks as the #5 field in the game for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #5 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #5 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Truist Park ranks as the #5 field in the game for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.