Final Sep 15
BAL 2 -105 o8.5
DET 4 -103 u8.5
Final Sep 15
CIN 2 +153 o9.0
MIN 9 -166 u9.0
Final Sep 15
BOS 2 +150 o8.0
NYY 5 -164 u8.0
Final Sep 15
NYM 1 +119 o8.0
PHI 2 -129 u8.0
Final Sep 15
KC 3 +100 o7.5
PIT 4 -108 u7.5
Final Sep 15
MIA 3 +152 o8.5
WAS 4 -166 u8.5
Final Sep 15
STL 2 +109 o8.0
TOR 3 -118 u8.0
Final Sep 15
TB 0 +110 o8.0
CLE 2 -119 u8.0
Final Sep 15
OAK 3 -160 o8.0
CHW 4 +147 u8.0
Final Sep 15
CHC 6 -135 o11.5
COL 2 +125 u11.5
Final (10) Sep 15
SD 4 -108 o8.0
SF 3 -100 u8.0
Final Sep 15
HOU 6 -195 o9.0
LAA 4 +177 u9.0
Final (10) Sep 15
MIL 10 +146 o8.5
AZ 11 -159 u8.5
Final Sep 15
TEX 0 +144 o7.0
SEA 7 -157 u7.0
Final Sep 15
LAD 9 -110 o8.5
ATL 2 +102 u8.5
NBC Bay Area, SDPA

San Francisco @ San Diego props

Petco Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

Petco Park grades out as the #26 venue in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Logan Webb will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Fernando Tatis Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 8.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Petco Park grades out as the #26 venue in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Logan Webb will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Fernando Tatis Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 8.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Michael Conforto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Michael Conforto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game.

Brett Wisely Total Hits Props • San Francisco

B. Wisely
second base 2B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Brett Wisely will have an advantage today. Brett Wisely hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Over the last week, Brett Wisely's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph in recent games. Brett Wisely's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 38.6% on the season to 55.6% over the past 7 days.

Brett Wisely

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Brett Wisely will have an advantage today. Brett Wisely hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Over the last week, Brett Wisely's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph in recent games. Brett Wisely's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 38.6% on the season to 55.6% over the past 7 days.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Arraez
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

The #5 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88.3-mph average last year has lowered to 86.3-mph. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Luis Arraez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (9.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.6°.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The #5 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88.3-mph average last year has lowered to 86.3-mph. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Luis Arraez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (9.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.6°.

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Heliot Ramos's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Heliot Ramos's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 90.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 88.7-mph over the past week. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 42.1% on the season to 64.3% in the last week's worth of games.

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Heliot Ramos's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Heliot Ramos's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 90.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 88.7-mph over the past week. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 42.1% on the season to 64.3% in the last week's worth of games.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand today. In the past week's worth of games, Mike Yastrzemski's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 16.7%. Mike Yastrzemski has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph average.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand today. In the past week's worth of games, Mike Yastrzemski's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 16.7%. Mike Yastrzemski has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph average.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Projection Rating

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Patrick Bailey has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph mark. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 15.5% on the season to 28.6% over the past two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.258) implies that Patrick Bailey has suffered from bad luck this year with his .233 actual batting average.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Patrick Bailey has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph mark. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 15.5% on the season to 28.6% over the past two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.258) implies that Patrick Bailey has suffered from bad luck this year with his .233 actual batting average.

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Wade Jr.
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Grant McCray Total Hits Props • San Francisco

G. McCray
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Grant McCray will have the upper hand today. Grant McCray hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Grant McCray

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Grant McCray will have the upper hand today. Grant McCray hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Tyler Fitzgerald Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Fitzgerald
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Sporting a .380 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Tyler Fitzgerald is ranked in the 95th percentile. Posting a .385 BABIP this year, Tyler Fitzgerald grades out in the 96th percentile.

Tyler Fitzgerald

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Sporting a .380 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Tyler Fitzgerald is ranked in the 95th percentile. Posting a .385 BABIP this year, Tyler Fitzgerald grades out in the 96th percentile.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Canha
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Mark Canha is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Sporting a 1.96 K/BB rate this year, Mark Canha has displayed impressive plate discipline, placing in the 78th percentile.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Mark Canha is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Sporting a 1.96 K/BB rate this year, Mark Canha has displayed impressive plate discipline, placing in the 78th percentile.

Marco Luciano Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Luciano
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marco Luciano in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Marco Luciano's footspeed has improved this season. His 27.1 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.62 ft/sec now.

Marco Luciano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marco Luciano in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Marco Luciano's footspeed has improved this season. His 27.1 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.62 ft/sec now.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Profar
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Jurickson Profar will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jurickson Profar has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season's 86.5-mph mark.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Jurickson Profar will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jurickson Profar has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season's 86.5-mph mark.

David Peralta Total Hits Props • San Diego

D. Peralta
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. David Peralta will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. David Peralta will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

David Peralta

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. David Peralta will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. David Peralta will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 93.2-mph EV.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 93.2-mph EV.

Kyle Higashioka Total Hits Props • San Diego

K. Higashioka
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Higashioka are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's game. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 25.5%.

Kyle Higashioka

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Higashioka are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's game. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 25.5%.

Luis Campusano Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Campusano
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's game.

Luis Campusano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's game.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Mason McCoy Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. McCoy
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-132
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-132
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Mason McCoy hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Mason McCoy will hold that advantage today. Mason McCoy has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 50% of the time over the past 14 days.

Mason McCoy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Mason McCoy hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Mason McCoy will hold that advantage today. Mason McCoy has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 50% of the time over the past 14 days.

Tyler Wade Total Hits Props • San Diego

T. Wade
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Tyler Wade will have the handedness advantage against Logan Webb today. Tyler Wade will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler Wade has had bad variance on his side this year. His .245 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .278.

Tyler Wade

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Tyler Wade will have the handedness advantage against Logan Webb today. Tyler Wade will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler Wade has had bad variance on his side this year. His .245 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .278.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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