San Francisco @ San Diego Picks & Props

Petco Park grades out as the #26 venue in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage over Manny Machado in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. In the past week, Manny Machado's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.1% down to 0%.

Petco Park grades out as the #26 venue in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Logan Webb will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Fernando Tatis Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 8.3% in the past week's worth of games.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Brett Wisely will have an advantage today. Brett Wisely hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Over the last week, Brett Wisely's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph in recent games. Brett Wisely's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 38.6% on the season to 55.6% over the past 7 days.

The #5 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88.3-mph average last year has lowered to 86.3-mph. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Luis Arraez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (9.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.6°.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Michael Conforto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Grant McCray will have the upper hand today. Grant McCray hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Mark Canha is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Sporting a 1.96 K/BB rate this year, Mark Canha has displayed impressive plate discipline, placing in the 78th percentile.

Heliot Ramos's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Heliot Ramos's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 90.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 88.7-mph over the past week. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 42.1% on the season to 64.3% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marco Luciano in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Marco Luciano's footspeed has improved this season. His 27.1 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.62 ft/sec now.

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Patrick Bailey has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph mark. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 15.5% on the season to 28.6% over the past two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.258) implies that Patrick Bailey has suffered from bad luck this year with his .233 actual batting average.

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand today. In the past week's worth of games, Mike Yastrzemski's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 16.7%. Mike Yastrzemski has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. David Peralta will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. David Peralta will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Jurickson Profar will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jurickson Profar has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season's 86.5-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Sporting a .380 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Tyler Fitzgerald is ranked in the 95th percentile. Posting a .385 BABIP this year, Tyler Fitzgerald grades out in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 93.2-mph EV.

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's game.

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Higashioka are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's game. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 25.5%.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Mason McCoy hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Mason McCoy will hold that advantage today. Mason McCoy has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 50% of the time over the past 14 days.

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Tyler Wade will have the handedness advantage against Logan Webb today. Tyler Wade will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler Wade has had bad variance on his side this year. His .245 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .278.