Philadelphia @ Miami Picks & Props
PHI vs MIA Picks
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PHI vs MIA Consensus Picks
More Consensus
71% picking Philadelphia
Total PicksPHI 337, MIA 136
75% picking Philadelphia vs Miami to go Over
Total PicksPHI 199, MIA 67
PHI vs MIA Props
Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This matchup is expected to have the 11th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Johnson in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for right-handed base hits. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Johan Rojas's footspeed has improved this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 30.11 ft/sec now.
Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will bat from his bad side (0) today against Seth Johnson Xavier Edwards has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 86.9-mph seasonal average has decreased to 81.3-mph in the past 7 days. Xavier Edwards's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, going from 49% on the season to 27.3% in the last week.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Trea Turner faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Trea Turner's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (5.8° over the last 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 9.7° seasonal figure. This season, there has been a decline in Trea Turner's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.23 ft/sec last year to 29.51 ft/sec currently.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today. Nick Fortes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed base hits. Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game.
Weston Wilson Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed base hits. Weston Wilson's footspeed has gotten better this season. His 26.5 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.96 ft/sec now.
Jonah Bride Total Hits Props • Miami

Jonah Bride is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jonah Bride will hold that advantage today. With a .331 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jonah Bride is ranked in the 79th percentile.
Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage in today's game. Brandon Marsh's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 48.3% on the season to 60.9% over the past two weeks. Brandon Marsh ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (48.3% rate this year).
Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Connor Norby is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed base hits. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today.
Griffin Conine Total Hits Props • Miami
LoanDepot Park profiles as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Seth Johnson throws from, Griffin Conine will have an edge in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today. Griffin Conine will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last week, Griffin Conine has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 21.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 10.6°.
Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Kyle Schwarber's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.7% up to 38.9%.
Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed base hits. Over the past two weeks, Nick Castellanos's 64.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.4%. When it comes to his batting average, Nick Castellanos has had bad variance on his side this year. His .248 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.
J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. J.T. Realmuto has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Over the last two weeks, J.T. Realmuto's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.6%. Utilizing Statcast data, J.T. Realmuto grades out in the 77th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .336.
Jesús Sánchez Total Hits Props • Miami

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Seth Johnson in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today.
Garrett Stubbs Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This matchup is expected to have the 11th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Garrett Stubbs will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup.
Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's game. In the past 7 days, Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 96.7-mph recently.
Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's game. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 44.2% on the season to 57.1% in the past two weeks.
Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Kody Clemens will have an advantage in today's game. Kody Clemens has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last season's 90.9-mph average. In the last week, Kody Clemens's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.5-mph in recent games.
Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Edmundo Sosa has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
PHI vs MIA Trends
Philadelphia Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games (+11.40 Units / 14% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 83 games (+11.00 Units / 11% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 58 away games (+6.35 Units / 10% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 70 of their last 127 games (+6.10 Units / 3% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 89 games (-22.90 Units / -22% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 70 games (-22.15 Units / -26% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 59 games (-20.85 Units / -28% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 76 games (-13.85 Units / -15% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 74 games at home (+29.15 Units / 35% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.20 Units / 28% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 47 games (+8.50 Units / 18% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 47 games (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 47 games (+7.15 Units / 15% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 74 games at home (-35.30 Units / -44% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 142 games (-30.16 Units / -16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 50 games (-23.20 Units / -39% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 62 of their last 137 games (-22.65 Units / -14% ROI)
PHI vs MIA Top User Picks
More PicksPhiladelphia Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | fatrats | 8-2-0 | +21045 |
2 | jlayne089 | 5-5-0 | +20155 |
3 | jakringle | 4-6-0 | +19940 |
4 | Alayne | 9-1-0 | +19467 |
5 | dragon5868 | 5-5-0 | +19235 |
6 | tonloc4554 | 6-4-0 | +17610 |
7 | KSBreview | 6-4-0 | +15789 |
8 | JL023 | 3-7-0 | +15387 |
9 | DavePaliwoda | 7-3-0 | +15330 |
10 | nolajay | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
All Phillies Money Leaders |
Miami Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
All Marlins Money Leaders |