New York @ Toronto Picks & Props
NYM vs TOR Picks
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NYM vs TOR Consensus Picks
More Consensus
63% picking NY Mets
Total PicksNYM 307, TOR 178
65% picking NY Mets vs Toronto to go Over
Total PicksNYM 183, TOR 99
NYM vs TOR Props
Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Rogers Centre ranks as the #22 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Chris Bassitt... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Bassitt's large platoon split. Among every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst venue in the majors for righty batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Jose Iglesias will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today. Among every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Jose Iglesias will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst venue in the majors for righty batting average. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Hitting from the same side that Tylor Megill throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have a tough matchup today. Compared to his seasonal mark of 5.9°, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (0.3° in the past 14 days).
Will Wagner Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Will Wagner is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Will Wagner will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Will Wagner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Among every team today, the 13th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Ernie Clement will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ernie Clement ranks in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.8% rate this year).
Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup.
George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. George Springer is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 14th-best among every team in action today.
Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto
Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 14th-best among every team in action today.
Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Francisco Alvarez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 98.1-mph in the past week.
Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto
Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage against Tylor Megill today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 14th-best among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today's game.
Nathan Lukes Total Hits Props • Toronto
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Nathan Lukes will have the handedness advantage against Tylor Megill in today's game. Nathan Lukes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 14th-best among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Nathan Lukes will hold that advantage in today's game.
Joey Loperfido Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Batting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Joey Loperfido will have the upper hand in today's game. Joey Loperfido hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team today, the 13th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Joey Loperfido will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Over the last 14 days, Pete Alonso has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.5% to 19.2%.
Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte as the 20th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Starling Marte's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 42.4% to 50.5%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.342) suggests that Starling Marte has experienced some negative variance this year with his .311 actual wOBA.
Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game... and even better, Bassitt has a large platoon split.
Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Harrison Bader has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week. This season, Harrison Bader has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90 mph compared to last year's 88 mph mark. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.3°, Harrison Bader has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19.7° angle over the last two weeks.
Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mark Vientos has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 15.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 9.1% over the past 7 days.
Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 14th-best among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today.
Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Considering Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Jesse Winker will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.8°, Jesse Winker has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.3° angle over the past week.
J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. J.D. Martinez's launch angle recently (21° over the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 14.4° seasonal figure. J.D. Martinez has posted a .340 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 81st percentile.
NYM vs TOR Trends
New York Trends
The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 92 games (+15.00 Units / 12% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 51 of their last 95 games (+15.75 Units / 12% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 85 games (+13.65 Units / 13% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 87 games (+10.35 Units / 10% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 31 away games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 89 games (-15.05 Units / -14% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 38 away games (-12.60 Units / -30% ROI)
Toronto Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games at home (+15.40 Units / 26% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+8.45 Units / 16% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.00 Units / 21% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 42% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 50 games at home (-22.65 Units / -41% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 61 games at home (-11.70 Units / -15% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 60 games at home (-9.15 Units / -11% ROI)
NYM vs TOR Top User Picks
More PicksNY Mets Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
| 2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
| 3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
| 4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
| 5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
| 6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
| 7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
| 8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
| 9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
| 10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
| All Mets Money Leaders | |||
Toronto Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | hackorama | 6-4-0 | +19495 |
| 2 | accxmass | 5-4-1 | +17505 |
| 3 | Midway28 | 5-4-1 | +15885 |
| 4 | CastlemontDB91 | 6-3-1 | +15740 |
| 5 | Rossi35 | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| 6 | CitoGMoney | 3-6-1 | +14955 |
| 7 | Kowalabear1994 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 8 | rapa76 | 7-3-0 | +13985 |
| 9 | captty55 | 4-6-0 | +12990 |
| 10 | sailorman1965 | 8-2-0 | +12945 |
| All Blue Jays Money Leaders | |||