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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 31, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.38 |
-118 
|
o7.5 -115 
|
-1.5 +140 
|
|
4.22 |
+110
|
u8.0 -112
|
+1.5 -154 
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Skenes' last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Skenes' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Skenes' last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Skenes' last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in Greenes last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 overall.
Top Projection
Henry Davis o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5 +270
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.41 |
+102
|
o8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
5.25 |
-110 
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -170 
|
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in Phillies last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2-2 in Phillies last 12 interleague games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 6-0 in Youngs last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 6-0 in Youngs last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)
o0.5 +173
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.14 |
+170
|
o7.5 -103
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
4.67 |
-183
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +119
|
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in Leahys last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-0 in Leahys last 7 starts overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Leahys last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 home games.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)
o0.5 +290
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
+124
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.82 |
-128
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +160
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in Feddes last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- White Sox are 6-0 in Feddes last 6 starts.
- White Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games.
- Under is 7-0 in Martinezs last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5 +175
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.65 |
+126
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.37 |
-137
|
u8.5 +105
|
-1.5 +152
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Top Projection
Tim Tawa o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5 +280
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.78 |
+105
|
o8.5 -103
|
+1.5 -191
|
|
4.69 |
-112
|
u8.5 -103
|
-1.5 +173
|
Miami
- Under is 8-1 in Marlins last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Junks last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0 in Peraltas last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.28 |
+106
|
o8.5 -131 
|
-1.5 +166
|
|
5.13 |
-116
|
u9.5 -126
|
+1.5 -190
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in Griffins last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Nationals are 7-0 in Griffins last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Elders last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)
o0.5 +173
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
+115
|
o7.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -186
|
|
3.99 |
-121
|
u7.5 -103
|
-1.5 +173
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Eovaldis last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
Houston
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+238)
o0.5 +238
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.87 |
-106
|
o11.0 -110
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
6.25 |
-102
|
u11.5 -124
|
+1.5 -148
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Wachas last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Rockies are 7-0 in Suganos last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+146)
o1.5 +150
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.22 |
-156
|
o8.5 -132
|
-1.5 +101
|
|
4.68 |
+148
|
u9.5 -131
|
+1.5 -111
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Drohans last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5 +202
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.69 |
-131
|
o10.5 -120
|
-1.5 +109
|
|
6.25 |
+124
|
u11.0 -115
|
+1.5 -121
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 overall.
Athletics
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Casey Mize o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+112)
o4.5 +112
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+132
|
o8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.92 |
-142
|
u8.5 -103
|
-1.5 +146
|
San Francisco
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Whisenhunts last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Whisenhunts last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
o0.5 +195
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.47 |
+116
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.77 |
-126
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
Boston
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 road games.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 12-3 in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
o1.5 +110
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.14 |
+152
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
5.29 |
-160
|
u8.0 -118
|
-1.5 +130
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Matthews' last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Matthews' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Matthews' last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5 +230
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.61 |
+125
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
|
4.76 |
-130
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +165
|
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 during game 2 of a series.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Gausmans last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Gausmans last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Gausmans last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.94 |
+150
|
o7.5 -126
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
|
4.37 |
-160
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +132
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in Schultzs last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Schultzs last 4 starts overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Schultzs last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rasmussens last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.79 |
+118
|
o8.5 -131
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
|
5.17 |
-126
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +165
|
Miami
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillips' last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.83 |
+147
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
|
4.02 |
-155
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +140
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Prielipps last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Prielipps last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Seattle
- Over is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts overall.
- Mariners are 9-1 in Gilberts last 10 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.14 |
-112
|
o8.0 -125
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
|
4.66 |
+105
|
u8.5 -111
|
+1.5 -161
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 8-0 in Ashcrafts last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts as a favorite.
Cincinnati
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.01 |
-136
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
|
3.77 |
+126
|
u8.5 -124
|
+1.5 -142
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in Sanchezs last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.55 |
-122
|
o8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
|
3.94 |
+114
|
u8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -150
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-0 in Blancos last 5 home starts.
- Astros are 4-0 in Blancos last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.19 |
+142
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
|
4.31 |
-154
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +136
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in Messicks last 6 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.36 |
-120
|
o6.0 -124
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
3.36 |
+114
|
u6.5 -115
|
+1.5 -175
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Frieds last 6 starts as a favorite.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.62 |
+170
|
o9.0 -124
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
|
5.74 |
-184
|
u9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +116
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Mikolas' last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Atlanta
- Over is 5-0 in Lopezs last 5 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 7-0 in Lopezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
o11.5 -125
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
|
-- |
-114
|
u12.0 -110
|
-1.5 +146
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 9-0 in Royals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 games as a road underdog.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 vs. National League West.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 7-1 in Buehlers last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+148
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
|
-- |
-160
|
u8.5 -126
|
-1.5 +142
|
Boston
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 road games.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-114
|
o8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
|
-- |
+106
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -160
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Gassers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 6-1 in Gassers last 7 starts on grass.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Angels are 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-132
|
o10.5 -120
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
u11.0 -125
|
+1.5 -125
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.
Athletics
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-132
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cavallis last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-0 in Braves last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-127
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Bradishs last 7 starts as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-111
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0-1 in McGreevys last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in McGreevys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Scherzers last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. National League East.
NY Mets
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 4-0 in Kellers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 8-0 in Burns' last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 on fieldturf.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Kellys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in Williams' last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-111
|
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-2 in Reas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Cubs are 6-0 in Reas last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Reas last 4 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Reas last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-111
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-229
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+180
|
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-132
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Athletics
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-143
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Twins last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 on grass.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
PIT
@
CIN
Fri, Jul 31 • 6:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Noelvi Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+211)
Projection 1.32
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for right-handed home runs.. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest left field fences in MLB.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+146)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #3 venue in MLB for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Paul Skenes today.
PHI
@
BAL
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.94
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Painter throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+114)
Projection 2.16
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage today.. In the past 7 days, Bryce Harper's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.6% up to 21.4%.
STL
@
TOR
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+320)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Strikeouts Thrown
Dylan Cease o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Dylan Cease has recorded at least eight strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 starts and draws a favorable matchup against a Cardinals lineup that struggles against sliders, making over 7.5 strikeouts a strong play.
CHW
@
TB
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Erick Fedde u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-157)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Eric Fedde draws a difficult matchup against one of baseball's toughest lineups to strike out. The veteran right hander has struggled to miss bats all season, especially on the road, where his strikeout rate, whiff rate, and chase rate all take a noticeable dip. Those trends have continued over his recent starts, and Batters-Box trends also points toward another low strikeout outing in this matchup. Tampa Bay consistently puts the ball in play, making it difficult for opposing pitchers to rack up punchouts. With the matchup working against him, Fedde under 3.5 strikeouts is my favorite angle in this game.
Total
u8.5 (-116)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 8.5 has a path through two modest offenses and strong bullpen form. Tampa Bay and Chicago both own 92 wRC+ marks recently, while the Rays relief corps has dominated with a 1.88 xERA. If Martinez keeps Chicago quiet, runs could be limited after Fedde exits tonight.
AZ
@
CLE
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Max Kepler u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. 23% of the time that Max Kepler has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. The league's 4th-highest average fence height can be found at Progressive Field.. Max Kepler will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. Max Kepler has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week's worth of games.
Total Bases
Rhys Hoskins u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Rhys Hoskins has been pinch hit for 20% of the time when starting against a southpaw this year.. The league's 4th-highest average fence height can be found at Progressive Field.. Typically, batters like Rhys Hoskins who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Mitch Bratt.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.
MIA
@
NYM
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.. Brett Baty's launch angle this year (11.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 5.7° mark last year.
Total Bases
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 7th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Using Statcast metrics, Otto Lopez grades out in the 88th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .282.
WAS
@
ATL
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
CJ Abrams continues to swing one of the hottest bats in baseball and finds himself in another favorable matchup Friday night. The Nationals shortstop has crushed right handed pitching recently, pairing elite production with excellent quality of contact. He will face Bryce Elder, who has consistently struggled to retire left handed hitters and has allowed plenty of hard contact and extra base damage. Washington's offense has also been rolling, creating another strong run producing environment. While Abrams' Batters-Box elite rating trends are only average, the matchup and current form make him a strong candidate to clear his total bases prop.
Total Home Runs
James Wood o0.5 Total Home Runs (+276)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
James Wood is one of my favorite home run looks on Friday's slate. The Nationals slugger earns an elite Batters-Box rating while covering 93.8% of Bryce Elder's pitch mix, giving him a strong matchup on paper. Wood has also been scorching right handed pitching lately, producing plenty of hard contact and barrels. Meanwhile, Elder has been getting hammered by left handed hitters, allowing elite expected numbers along with high hard hit, barrel, and elevation rates over his recent sample. With Wood due for a long ball after six straight elite rated appearances without one, this feels like an ideal spot for him to go deep.
TEX
@
HOU
Fri, Jul 31 • 8:15 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Nathan Eovaldi is an excellent strikeout artist but ranks in the 34th percentile in barrel rate. That could get him into trouble against the Houston Astros, who sit fourth in ISO vs. right-handed pitching in July.
Texas holds down the seventh slot in ISO against righties this month while also cracking the Top-10 in hard hit rate and fly ball percentage.
Bet the Over to -125.
Moneyline
TEX (+110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
KC
@
COL
Fri, Jul 31 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (-116)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Hunter Goodman may be in a bit of a slump, but his underlying metrics suggest a breakout is coming. The Rockies catcher continues to barrel the baseball at an elite rate while generating plenty of hard contact against right handed pitching. He also draws a favorable matchup against Michael Wacha, who has struggled to limit quality contact from right handed hitters and doesn't generate many strikeouts. That combination should give Goodman plenty of opportunities to do damage at Coors Field. While the price is inflated because of the ballpark, Goodman still has a strong path to clearing 1.5 total bases tonight.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (-116)
Projection 2.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as baseball's 14th-best home run hitter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
MIL
@
LAA
Fri, Jul 31 • 9:38 PM ET
Spread
MIL -1.5 (-103)
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst
The Brewers are set up nicely to bounce back after Wednesday’s blowout loss. They've been strong in games after a loss this season and own an MLB-best 11-4 record following a day off. They'll face Angels youngster Ryan Johnson, who owns an ugly 7.34 ERA and has been smacked around in multiple starts. With Milwaukee ranking second in OPS over the past week and Los Angeles sitting 27th in OPS in July, Shane Drohan is well-positioned to lead the Brewers to a comfortable win.
Total Bases
Jose Siri o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.23
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Jose Siri will have the handedness advantage over Shane Drohan today.
DET
@
ATH
Fri, Jul 31 • 9:40 PM ET
The Detroit Tigers can be had for a reasonable price after the market pounced on the A's side when projected starter Casey Mize was scratched. Enter Ty Madden, who's been great (2.72 xERA, 2.99 FIP) across 27 innings in the big leagues. Detroit is fresh off a day of rest, so the bullpen behind him will have every notable arm available. Play the Tigers to -140.
Total
u10.5 (+105)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
The Tigers rank bottom five in wOBA (.277) and wRC+ (74) against lefties in July. The Athletics have cashed the Under in five consecutive home games, and this looks like another inflated total at Sutter Health Park after Casey Mize was scratched.
SF
@
SD
Fri, Jul 31 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Rafael Devers tops Batters-Box's ratings today, marking his 260th elite rated matchup over the last three seasons. He has homered in 22.39% of his previous 259 elite rated games, and tonight's matchup is another favorable one. Germán Márquez has been crushed by left handed hitters all season, allowing a ton of contact, plenty of elevation, and elite expected numbers. While Devers' pitch coverage is lowered by a limited sample against Márquez's knuckle curve, he grades out extremely well against the rest of his arsenal. Combined with Devers' recent form, this sets up as an outstanding opportunity for a long ball.
Total
u8.5 (-103)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 8.5 fits because both lineups have lacked power lately. San Francisco owns a .151 ISO over its last seven games, while San Diego sits at just .091 over its last six. With both bullpens limiting damage and homers, this matchup has a clear path to stay contained.
BOS
@
LAD
Fri, Jul 31 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
LAD (-121)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suárez will make his second start since returning from a groin injury. In his first outing on July 26 against the Blue Jays, he threw just four scoreless innings on 64 pitches while striking out six, suggesting the Red Sox are still easing him back. Against the Dodgers' patient lineup, this could be another short outing, exposing Boston's middle relievers. The matchup is also dangerous for Suárez, whose heavy sinker lives at the bottom of the zone and relies on weak ground balls. The Dodgers match up well against that profile, with right-handed hitters like Mookie Betts and Andy Pages owning swing paths built to attack low pitches. Polymarket has Los Angeles at a 54-cent favorite, but I make them closer to 58 cents, so I'm hitting the button.
Total
u8.5 (+100)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez (3.02 ERA, 3.19 xFIP) has posted excellent run suppression numbers and deservedly so.
The Dodgers aren't in great form offensively, and that's not handedness specific. Los Angeles slots 18th against lefties in wOBA this month.
I don't see the Boston Red Sox, who are 16th in wOBA vs. righties in July, lighting up the Dodgers bullpen, and that's probably necessary to go Over.
Play the Under to -120.
MIN
@
SEA
Fri, Jul 31 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total Home Runs (+344)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Randy Arozarena is in a premium matchup against Zebby Matthews, who has struggled throughout the season and has been especially vulnerable away from home. Matthews has also been hit hard by right handed batters recently, allowing plenty of quality contact and power. Arozarena enters this matchup swinging a scorching hot bat against right handed pitching, backed by elite hard hit and barrel rates over his recent sample. Batters-Box also grades him with an elite matchup rating, while also having incredible arsenal coverage against Matthews' offerings. Everything lines up for Arozarena to continue his hot streak in a favorable home matchup.
Total Bases
Dominic Canzone o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Dominic Canzone is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest fences among all stadiums.. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all parks.. Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage over Zebby Matthews in today's matchup.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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