San Diego @ Seattle props

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Mitch Haniger will hold that advantage in today's game. Mitch Haniger has been unlucky this year, notching a .278 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .032 deviation. This year, Mitch Haniger has an average exit velocity of 90.5 mph, which ranks among the elite in the league at the 76th percentile.

T-Mobile Park grades out as the #29 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to less offense. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 89.6-mph figure last season has lowered to 87.5-mph.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Josh Rojas's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (16.8°) is quite a bit better than his 10.5° mark last season. Over the past two weeks, Josh Rojas's 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Xander Bogaerts has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.7-mph mark. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 14.5% on the season to 21.6% over the past 14 days. Despite posting a .300 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Xander Bogaerts has had some very poor luck given the .030 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby today. Jake Cronenworth has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jake Cronenworth's launch angle in recent games (30.5° in the past week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 14° seasonal mark.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Batting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, J.P. Crawford has been unlucky this year. His .198 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .239.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Yu Darvish in today's matchup. Luke Raley will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.2-mph to 97.6-mph in the past 14 days. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .346 rate is deflated compared to his .379 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Julio Rodriguez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Julio Rodriguez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Compared to last year, Julio Rodriguez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.9% to 16.4% this season.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randy Arozarena's true offensive talent to be a .342, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .020 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .322 wOBA.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for home runs.

Kyle Higashioka pulls many of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 17.5% to 25.7%. This year, Kyle Higashioka's 12.5% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 87th percentile among his peers. This year, Kyle Higashioka's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 83rd percentile at 94.5 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Last year, Donovan Solano had an average launch angle of 9.3° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 13.8°. Sporting a .330 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Donovan Solano has performed in the 79th percentile. In notching a .291 batting average this year, Donovan Solano is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jurickson Profar is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Jurickson Profar pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Jurickson Profar has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year's 86.5-mph mark. Jurickson Profar has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 97.1-mph in the past two weeks.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. In the past two weeks, Manny Machado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph in recent games. Based on Statcast data, Manny Machado grades out in the 77th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .337.

Jackson Merrill's batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage today. Jackson Merrill has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.4% seasonal rate to 17.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the past 14 days, Jackson Merrill's 54.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.9%.

Victor Robles is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Victor Robles will hold that advantage in today's game. Posting a .344 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Victor Robles grades out in the 88th percentile. By putting up a .292 batting average this year, Victor Robles has performed in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jorge Polanco will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jorge Polanco has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 92.8-mph. Jorge Polanco's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (31.3° over the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 21° seasonal angle.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .313 mark is quite a bit lower than his .338 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.4°, Justin Turner has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.7° mark over the past two weeks. Sporting a 1.57 K/BB rate this year, Justin Turner has shown good plate discipline, ranking in the 92nd percentile.