Tampa Bay @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Ben Rortvedt has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Posting a .323 BABIP this year, Ben Rortvedt has performed in the 80th percentile.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for long-balls.

Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Jonathan Aranda has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Jonathan Aranda has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 20% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Compared to his seasonal average of 8.5°, Jonathan Aranda has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19.8° angle in the past two weeks. Jonathan Aranda has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .261 mark is a fair amount lower than his .355 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jose Caballero will have the upper hand in today's game. Jose Caballero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for long-balls. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for long-balls. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Junior Caminero will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Junior Caminero has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.7-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 96.8-mph. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Junior Caminero sits with a .260 batting average since the start of last season.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for long-balls. Garrett Stubbs will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Garrett Stubbs will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jose Siri will have an advantage today. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. This season, Jose Siri has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.6 mph compared to last year's 94 mph mark. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.6°, Jose Siri has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 44° mark over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand today. Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Marsh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Brandon Marsh's 54.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Christopher Morel is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Christopher Morel will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today. Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Christopher Morel has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 94.6-mph.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for long-balls. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage today. Trea Turner has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.5-mph.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for long-balls. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Dylan Carlson will get to bat from his good side against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Last season, Dylan Carlson had an average launch angle of 15° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.8°. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dylan Carlson's true offensive skill to be a .305, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .048 deviation between that mark and his actual .257 wOBA.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for long-balls. Johan Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Johan Rojas has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 3% seasonal rate to 8.3% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for long-balls. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today. Nick Castellanos's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 48.8% on the season to 70.6% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 12th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for long-balls. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Yandy Diaz will have an edge today. Over the last 14 days, Yandy Diaz has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.7% to 14.8%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryce Harper will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for long-balls. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage today. Kody Clemens has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last year's 90.9-mph figure. Kody Clemens has hit one of the hardest balls in the league in the last week — 108-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.

Brandon Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.