MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 31, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, May 31 • 12:15 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Daulton Varsho logo Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Kyle Bradish ranks in the 49th percentile in opponent hard-hit rate (38.9%), resulting in home runs in back-to-back starts, and has been taken deep six times over his last seven outings.

3 LEG PARLAY
Ernie Clement profile picture
Ernie Clement o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho profile picture
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. profile picture
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Runs
Runs
Bet now
Pick made: an hour ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Ernie Clement is swinging a hot bat and has eight extra-base hits in his last 13 games. Vladimir Guerrero Jr has reached base 20 times in his last nine games, including a four-for five game last night. Daulton Varsho is another Blue Jay who profiles well against Bradish’s sinker-slider mix. Varsho enters the matchup with extra-base hits in consecutive games and owns a .333 batting average against those pitches this season.

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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, May 31 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Washington Nationals logo WAS (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

There's isn't much to like about Griffin Canning's form this year (7.54 ERA). Zack Littell counters, and his 2.19 ERA in May shines by comparison. The Nats' bats are also doing much better over the last two weeks, ranking fourth while San Diego is 24th.

Total RBIs
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Curtis Mead ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Curtis Mead is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Curtis Mead has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Curtis Mead will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, May 31 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage against Braxton Ashcraft in today's game.. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. This year, Kody Clemens's 13.6% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 85th percentile among his peers.
Total Home Runs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total Home Runs (+450)
Projection 0.21
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the league's 13th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge today.. Oneil Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. In notching a 28.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Oneil Cruz finds himself in the 84th percentile for power.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Juan Soto logo Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+273)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Juan Soto has absolutely mashed the baseball this season, sitting in the 99th percentile in xSLG, 97th percentile in Barrel%, and 93rd percentile in average exit velocity. He's also beaten up right-handed pitchers, with a .659 SLG and nine of his 12 homers coming vs. righties.

Total RBIs
Mark Vientos logo
Mark Vientos o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Mark Vientos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 14% to 20.3%.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Victor Mesa Jr. logo
Victor Mesa Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+156)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Victor Mesa Jr.'s BABIP skill is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Victor Mesa Jr. is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Tropicana Field projects as the #27 stadium in the league for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 field in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Zach Neto will have the handedness advantage against Shane McClanahan today.. Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Bibee today.
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits.. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand today.. Wilyer Abreu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16.7% to 20.5%.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Matt Olson logo Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+325)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Nick Lodolo's sinker has an xBA of .421 and an xSLG of .764, yet he’s still throwing it 23% of the time. Matt Olson has gone yard four times against the sinker this year, while batting .310 with a .643 SLG vs. that pitch.

Total Hits
Jorge Mateo logo
Jorge Mateo u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Mateo ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jorge Mateo is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among every team today.. Jorge Mateo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.144) may lead us to conclude that Jorge Mateo has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .245 actual batting average.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sun, May 31 • 2:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (-182)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

I refuse to believe Tatsuya Imai has suddenly "figured it out" for the Astros after tossing six scoreless innings as part of a no-hitter last Tuesday. His ERA is still a sky-high 6.17. He can't hang with Jacob Misiorowski (1.83 ERA), so back the Brewers to -200.

Total RBIs
Taylor Trammell logo
Taylor Trammell o0.5 Total RBIs (+360)
Projection 0.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Taylor Trammell is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.. Taylor Trammell will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob Misiorowski today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Taylor Trammell will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Since the start of last season, Taylor Trammell has an average exit velocity of 90.9 mph, which is one of the best in the majors at the 84th percentile.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sun, May 31 • 2:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Detroit Tigers logo Chicago White Sox logo o7.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The White Sox have an Over record of 8-2-0 in their last 10 games.

Spread
Chicago White Sox logo CHW -1.5 (+166)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The White Sox have won five of seven against the Tigets, with four of those wins coming by at least two runs.

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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sun, May 31 • 2:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Michael Helman logo
Michael Helman u0.5 Total Hits (+111)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Helman in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Michael Helman is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. Since the start of last season, Michael Helman has been pulled from the game early in 13% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Globe Life Field profiles as the #30 stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest CF fences in the majors.
Total RBIs
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Jake Burger has performed at a clip of 26.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sun, May 31 • 3:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Casey Schmitt logo Casey Schmitt o0.5 Total Home Runs (+370)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Casey Schmitt has been on fire with six dingers in the last 13 games, and he'll be hitting out of the most batter-friendly park in the majors today.

Rockies starter Tanner Gordon is also suscepitble to the long ball, ranking in the bottom five percentile in Barrel% and bottom 17 percentile in Hard-Hit%.

Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (-119)
Projection 2.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in the game for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, May 31 • 4:05 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

Put simply, Ben Rice is seeing pitches like soccer balls this week - and he enters this afternoon's clash with the Oakland A's on a 10-for-17 tear across his last four games, including a homer, a triple and three doubles.

He ranks second in the majors with a 1.047 OPS, and he's a standout hitter in just about every statistical category, from his .566 xSLG to his 17.7% barrel rate. 

Total
New York Yankees logo Athletics Athletics logo u10.5 (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Will Warren's release slot suppresses launch angle, while New York's MLB-leading groundball bullpen extends the Yankees' advantage. With Jacob Lopez also generating weak contact, this 10.5 total is too high. Play Under 9.5.

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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Sun, May 31 • 4:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Yoshinobu Yamamoto logo Yoshinobu Yamamoto o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 40 minutes ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

Yamamoto has racked up 7+ Ks in five of his past seven outings, and his five-pitch arsenal (and 29% whiff rate) will keep the Philadelphia Phillies off balance today.

He keeps his walks low - just 13 this year - and that's allowed him to pitch past the sixth inning in each of his last three starts.

Total
Philadelphia Phillies logo Los Angeles Dodgers logo u8.5 (+107)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

The Phillies have cashed the Under in eight consecutive games, scoring no more than four runs in any of those games and posting a league-worst 55 wRC+ and .251 wOBA. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is far from a "get right spot". They're 2-7 O/U in Andrew Painter's last nine starts.

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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sun, May 31 • 4:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Randy Arozarena logo Randy Arozarena o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

Watch for Arozarena to put an exclamation point on an impressive week here. He's piled up eight hits across his past six games, cashing this combo prop in three of those outings, and I'm encouraged by his 4-for-8 mark against Arizona Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly.

Arozarena's savvy baserunning has contributed to 17 runs this month, and the RBI potential is off the charts with the Mariners scoring a combined 40 runs in their last six contests.

Total
Arizona Diamondbacks logo Seattle Mariners logo u7.5 (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

Bryce Miller has added 2-3 mph onto all of his pitches, and has tripled his slider usage from a season ago. That breaking ball is generating a 43.3% whiff rate thanks to an additional 2.6 inches of induced vertical break. That is a devastating equalizer against the Diamondbacks, who have a league-leading 48.2% pull rate over the last two weeks.

 

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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, May 31 • 7:20 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo St. Louis Cardinals logo o8.5 (-122)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I’m playing the Over because both lefties have run-prevention risk, and I have stronger conviction on the total than the side. I would play this up to -132 at 8.5 and down to +100 at 9. We talked about Matthew Liberatore above, and he’s a threat to give up a crooked number at any time. Jordan Wicks brings similar danger on the other side, allowing a .309 xBA, .493 xSLG, and 47.1% hard-hit rate against a St. Louis Cardinals lineup with the seventh-best expected slugging percentage.

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Matthew Liberatore’s contact profile is a bad fit against Chicago. His 5-plus xERA, 9.8% barrel rate, and 43.9% hard-hit rate leave too much room for damage, and the Cubs have ranked top five in barrel rate and hard-hit rate over the past week.

Jordan Wicks is volatile enough to keep this uncomfortable, but the St. Louis Cardinals do not bring the same scoring ceiling. In a near coin-flip market, I prefer Chicago’s offense, especially with the Cubs showing signs of their contact quality turning back up.

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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 9 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero logo Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+401)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Junior Caminero continues to crush the baseball, hitting .409 over the last week with 13 home runs on the season. Ryan Weathers has allowed all eight of his homers this year to right-handed batters, which sets up well for the powerful Tampa Bay slugger.

Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+115)
Pick made: 8 days ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

Drew Rasmussen vs. the New York Yankees is a mismatch on paper — the righty is 4-1 with a 1.03 ERA and 51 punchouts in eight career games against New York. Coming off a thrilling comeback win on Friday, the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays are primed to keep the foot on the gas behind their dynamic arm to create more separation in the AL East.

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