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69% picking Pittsburgh
Total PicksMIA 151, PIT 331
Total PicksMIA 229, PIT 93
Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Otto Lopez in today's matchup.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.
Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 9th-deepest LF fences today. Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
In today's game, Connor Norby is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.5% rate (76th percentile). Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Connor Norby in today's matchup.
When estimating his BABIP talent, Oneil Cruz is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Oneil Cruz is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Batters such as Oneil Cruz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jonathan Bermudez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone under 1.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.
Joey Bart has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Batting from the same side that Adam Mazur throws from, Joey Bart will be at a disadvantage today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Adam Mazur will have the handedness advantage against Bryan De La Cruz in today's matchup. Bryan De La Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Bryan Reynolds will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Adam Mazur will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew McCutchen in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Javier Sanoja will have the upper hand in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.
Connor Joe is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 82°. Adam Mazur will have the handedness advantage over Connor Joe in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Adam Mazur will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Triolo in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's game.
Jonah Bride is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Jonah Bride will have an edge in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 81°. Nick Fortes will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Falter in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.
Cristian Pache has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
David Hensley has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Jhonny Pereda has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Last Meeting ( Sep 10, 2024 ) Miami 4, Pittsburgh 6
The Pittsburgh Pirates could use a lengthy outing from starting pitcher Bailey Falter when they go for a sweep of the three-game series against the visiting Miami Marlins on Wednesday afternoon.
The Pirates (69-76) used seven relievers in a 6-4 win on Tuesday, including set-up man Dennis Santana and closer Aroldis Chapman for a second straight game and three of the past four.
Carmen Mlodzinski and Joey Wentz also threw multiple innings for Pittsburgh on Tuesday.
"Our bullpen, it's going to be in a little bit of trouble (Wednesday)," Pirates manager Derek Shelton said. "We're going to have to sit down and talk and see what our availabilities are, but we are going into an off-day (Thursday)."
Falter (7-7, 4.45) is 3-0 in his past seven starts with a 5.52 ERA, but he's gone more than five innings only twice in that span and three times in his past 13 appearances.
"Bailey needs to just go out there and give us a good start and I think that's what we're looking for," Shelton said.
Falter has been helped by good run support, as the Pirates have averaged nearly six runs a game in his past seven outings.
"That's big-time," Falter said. "Whenever we score runs, our job is to go out there and put up a zero."
Falter most recently earned the win after allowing three runs and seven hits in five innings of a 9-4 win against the Washington Nationals on Thursday. He bounced back after giving up three runs in the first inning.
"He didn't look like he was in rhythm in the first inning, just didn't look comfortable," Shelton said. "Then he was able to bounce back. I mean, he was at 71 (pitches) through three and was able to finish at 94, which shows he was efficient in those last two innings."
Falter faced Miami in his season opener and surrendered six runs and five hits in four innings. He gave up five runs in the first inning, but was saved from a defeat when the Pirates scored three runs in the seventh to take a 7-6 lead and eventually won 9-7 in 10 innings.
Falter has made seven appearances (four starts) against the Marlins and is 2-0 with a 5.73 ERA.
The Marlins (54-91) plan to start Jonathan Bermudez in the series finale.
Bermudez (0-0, 5.79) has made just two relief appearances in his major league career.
He gave up two runs and six hits in 3 2/3 innings of a 9-8 win against the Colorado Rockies on Aug. 27, and a run and two hits in one inning of a 10-1 win on Sunday.
Michael Petersen could see some time on the mound for Miami on Wednesday.
The right-hander was claimed off waivers Tuesday from the Los Angeles Dodgers, with whom he went 3-0 with a 6.43 ERA in 11 appearances.
Petersen, who played for Britain during the World Baseball Classic, had 10 saves and a 1.64 ERA in 35 games, with 44 strikeouts and eight walks in 33 innings with Triple-A Oklahoma City this season.
To make room for Petersen, the Marlins designated RHP Brett de Geus for assignment.
Miami catcher Jhonny Pereda had three hits in the loss on Tuesday while hitting in the No. 9 spot. Kyle Stowers also contributed two doubles after coming in 1-for-26 in September.
--Field Level Media
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