MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 9, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Thu, Apr 9 • 12:10 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Will Benson logo
Will Benson u0.5 Total Hits (+134)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 13th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Will Benson is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.. Will Benson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 61% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.
Total Hits
Jakob Marsee logo
Jakob Marsee u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Among every team today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.. This season, Jakob Marsee's Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 8.1% last year to just 0% this year.. Over the past two weeks, Jakob Marsee has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
View 5 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ New York Yankees logo NYY Thu, Apr 9 • 1:35 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Randal Grichuk logo
Randal Grichuk u0.5 Total Hits (+152)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Randal Grichuk is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 venue in MLB for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Randal Grichuk hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's game.
Total Hits
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #2 venue in MLB for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Typically, hitters like Aaron Judge who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jeffrey Springs.. In terms of his batting average, Aaron Judge has been lucky since the start of last season. His .325 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .287.
View 9 Picks
Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Thu, Apr 9 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 7 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Detroit Tigers logo DET (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

There's no denying that both starting pitchers are off to rough starts, but Jack Flaherty can bounce back against a weak-hitting Twins side. Sure, they put up 8+ runs yesterday, but they are in the bottom third in hitting across the board out of the gates. Flaherty delivers a gem, and the Tigers hit Mick Abel hard. 

Total Hits
Zach McKinstry logo
Zach McKinstry u0.5 Total Hits (+143)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Zach McKinstry is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.. 28% of the time that Zach McKinstry has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.. Among all parks, Target Field's CF dimensions are the 9th-deepest.. Zach McKinstry will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
View 8 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ New York Mets logo NYM Thu, Apr 9 • 7:10 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Mark Vientos logo
Mark Vientos u0.5 Total Hits (+136)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mark Vientos is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst park in baseball for RHB base hits.. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 6th-hottest temperature of the day at 47°.. Among every team playing today, the best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Strikeouts Thrown
Nolan McLean logo
Nolan McLean u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
Projection 5.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 19.4% underlying K%.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan McLean in this game.. With a 1.76 difference between Nolan McLean's 10.65 K/9 and his 8.89 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and figures to see negative regression going forward.
View 4 Picks
Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Thu, Apr 9 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #7 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions on the schedule today.
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Munetaka Murakami projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #7 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions on the schedule today.
View 10 Picks

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