Kansas City @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

Dingers are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all stadiums. Considering Luis Ortiz's huge platoon split, Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr.'s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 93-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 90.2-mph in the last 7 days. Bobby Witt Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, falling from 44.4% on the season to 34.1% in the past two weeks.

Dingers are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all stadiums. Alec Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today's matchup. Isiah Kiner-Falefa's average exit velocity has declined this season; his 88.8-mph EV last year has fallen to 85.6-mph. Over the past two weeks, Isiah Kiner-Falefa's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 87.8 mph to 83.2 mph. Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.4°, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.3°) in the past 14 days.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. As it relates to plate discipline, Robbie Grossman's skill is quite strong, posting a 1.55 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 93rd percentile.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Oneil Cruz is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage today.

Michael Massey is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Michael Massey will have the handedness advantage against Luis Ortiz in today's game... and even better, Ortiz has a huge platoon split. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Alec Marsh today.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Ortiz in today's matchup... and moreover, Ortiz has a huge platoon split. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.251) implies that Adam Frazier has had bad variance on his side this year with his .204 actual batting average.

Hunter Renfroe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Hunter Renfroe has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 93.7-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Considering Luis Ortiz's huge platoon split, Kyle Isbel will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today. In the last 7 days, Rowdy Tellez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.1% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Jared Triolo will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Jared Triolo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 14.3%.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Andrew McCutchen will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Bryan De La Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Bryan De La Cruz's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 89.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 83.7-mph over the last week.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, MJ Melendez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Ortiz today... and even more favorably, Ortiz has a huge platoon split.

Freddy Fermin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. With a .327 BABIP this year, Freddy Fermin has performed in the 86th percentile.

Joey Bart is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage in today's game. Joey Bart's launch angle in recent games (17.5° in the last week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 8.3° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) suggests that Maikel Garcia has suffered from bad luck this year with his .239 actual batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Yuli Gurriel has shown good plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 84th percentile with a 1.84 K/BB rate.