Miami @ Washington Picks & Props

In MLB, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Kyle Stowers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph in recent games. Kyle Stowers has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .257 figure is deflated compared to his .298 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Kyle Stowers ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.3% rate since the start of last season).

In MLB, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Griffin Conine has displayed some good exit velocity statistics lately, averaging 102.1-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks.

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Jacob Young's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game. Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Jacob Young sports a .321 BABIP this year.

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. CJ Abrams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today. CJ Abrams may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage today.

Dylan Crews is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Dylan Crews will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Dylan Crews's launch angle lately (22.2° over the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 8.7° seasonal mark. Dylan Crews has been hot recently, posting a a 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) in the past week. Dylan Crews has hit one of the hardest balls in Major League Baseball in the last 7 days — 109.6-mph — which is a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Luis Garcia is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Luis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Edward Cabrera today. Luis Garcia may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will get to bat from his better side (0) today against DJ Herz. Xavier Edwards has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Posting a 1.39 K/BB rate this year, Xavier Edwards has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 95th percentile.

Andres Chaparro is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Andres Chaparro will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Andres Chaparro's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 14.3%. Andres Chaparro has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.6-mph.

Cristian Pache will have the handedness advantage against DJ Herz in today's game. Cristian Pache has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. In the past 7 days, Cristian Pache's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.2%. Cristian Pache has recorded a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile.

In MLB, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. The switch-hitting Drew Millas will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Edward Cabrera. Drew Millas will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 77th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.33 ft/sec this year, Drew Millas is notably toolsy.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Edward Cabrera in today's game. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this season (20°) is considerably better than his 15.1° angle last year. Despite posting a .273 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has suffered from bad luck given the .019 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292.

Nick Fortes will hold the platoon advantage over DJ Herz in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Nick Fortes's 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jose Tena is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In MLB, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Jose Tena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jose Tena can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Connor Norby's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Norby is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Connor Norby will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against DJ Herz in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Connor Norby's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.3% up to 21.4%. In the last 7 days, Connor Norby's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 93.8 mph to 90.1 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jake Burger is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Jake Burger will have the upper hand in today's game. Jake Burger's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 91.5-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 88.1-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Otto Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Otto Lopez will have the upper hand today. Otto Lopez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Otto Lopez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 40.5% on the season to 50% in the last week's worth of games.

Jonah Bride is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Jonah Bride will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against DJ Herz in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Jonah Bride's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.5% up to 13.3%. Jonah Bride has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 87.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 85.6-mph average. Jonah Bride has put up a .324 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 75th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Joey Gallo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Joey Gallo is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Joey Gallo pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Joey Gallo will hold that advantage today. Joey Gallo has been unlucky this year, posting a .268 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .305 — a .037 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Javier Sanoja will have the handedness advantage over DJ Herz in today's game.

Jesús Sánchez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Nasim Nunez has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.