MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 3, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, May 3 • 12:45 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 5 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Minnesota Twins logo MIN (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Although Trey Yesavage looked solid in his 2026 debut, Joe Ryan has had the Blue Jays' number over the years, limiting Toronto hitters to a .708 lifetime OPS. Expect the Twins to take the series finale at home.

Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Aaron Judge logo Aaron Judge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+205)
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Aaron Judge is coming off a vintage month of April, where he hit 10 dingers with a .659 slugging percentage.

The Yankees star will square up against Orioles starter Trey Gibson, who is making his MLB debut. Baltimore's bullpen has also been pretty shaky, giving up 17 home runs - tied for seventh most in the MLB.

Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 6 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
William Contreras logo William Contreras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+540)
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

William Contreras only has three homers this year (including one on Thursday), but he'll be able to pick on a brutal Nationals pitching staff today.

Starter Zack Littell has already allowed 13 homers, including 2+ in four straight outings, while the Nats have surrendered an MLB-worst 51 dingers.

Total RBIs
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Jake Bauers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 5th-best among every team in action today.
Total Hits
Trevor Story logo
Trevor Story u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Kai-Wei Teng will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today's game.. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 5th-best among every team in action today.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as Major League Baseball's 11th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.3-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Chase Burns today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart as the 20th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.3-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Among every team today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, May 3 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Matt Chapman will have the handedness advantage over Steven Matz today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams in action today.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sun, May 3 • 1:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.. Kyle Stowers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today's matchup.. Kyle Schwarber has strong power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Chris Paddack has a pitch-to-contact profile (19th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, May 3 • 2:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.9-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. JJ Wetherholt will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Pedro Pages logo
Pedro Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+206)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pedro Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.9-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Pedro Pages will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage today.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sun, May 3 • 2:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Gabriel Moreno logo
Gabriel Moreno u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 8th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the coldest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°.. Today, Gabriel Moreno is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.4% rate (97th percentile).. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams in action today.. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gabriel Moreno in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Ildemaro Vargas logo
Ildemaro Vargas u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
Projection 0.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the coldest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°.. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams in action today.. Ildemaro Vargas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sun, May 3 • 3:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Matt Olson logo Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+310)
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Matt Olson has gone yard in two straight games, and four of his last six outings. He'll be batting out of Coors Field today, one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the majors.

The Rockies have allowed 46 dingers already - the third most among all clubs - while starter Kyle Freeland has surrendered a homer in two straight games.

Total Hits
Jorge Mateo logo
Jorge Mateo u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Mateo ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jorge Mateo is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Jorge Mateo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, May 3 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge today.. Kyle Manzardo may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Athletics only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases
Brent Rooker logo
Brent Rooker o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brent Rooker ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Brent Rooker will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Brent Rooker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, May 3 • 4:07 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Nolan Schanuel logo
Nolan Schanuel u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Kochanowicz today.. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team today.
View 6 Picks
Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sun, May 3 • 4:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Luis Castillo has been a shell of his former self, but the Mariners right-hander should bounce back against a putrid Royals offense that is hitting just .205 off of him. Side with Seattle on Sunday afternoon. 

Total Hits
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Salvador Perez's BABIP talent is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Castillo will have the handedness advantage over Salvador Perez in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Castillo's large platoon split.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Salvador Perez in today's matchup.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sun, May 3 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as the league's 2nd-best home run batter.. Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Munetaka Murakami will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Vasquez in today's game.. Munetaka Murakami has big-time HR ability (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (36.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez has a pitch-to-contact profile (1st percentile K%) — great news for Murakami.. Munetaka Murakami hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 12th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Given Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.
View 10 Picks
Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, May 3 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ezequiel Duran logo
Ezequiel Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.31
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+149)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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