Texas @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Nathaniel Lowe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 20%.

Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer in today's game. Josh Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.2°, Josh Rojas has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 38° angle over the past 7 days.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Max Scherzer today. J.P. Crawford will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. J.P. Crawford's launch angle lately (32.5° in the past week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 12.9° seasonal mark.

Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Leody Taveras's launch angle this season (13.5°) is a considerable increase over his 9.9° mark last year. Leody Taveras's launch angle in recent games (27.8° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 13.5° seasonal angle. Leody Taveras has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .223 mark is a fair amount lower than his .256 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh H. Smith is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Josh H. Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup. Josh H. Smith pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Josh H. Smith has posted a .320 BABIP this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Julio Rodriguez has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Julio Rodriguez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Julio Rodriguez's launch angle recently (33.7° in the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 10.4° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Josh Jung has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Josh Jung has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 10.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 15.5% on the season to 11.8% in the last week's worth of games. By putting up a .265 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Josh Jung is ranked in the 81st percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past week, Marcus Semien's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%. Marcus Semien has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .305 figure is a fair amount lower than his .336 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jonah Heim pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonah Heim has experienced some negative variance given the .030 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .288.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game. Randy Arozarena has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week.

Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's game. Justin Turner has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 4.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.7°, Justin Turner has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.2° mark in the past two weeks' worth of games. Sporting a 1.52 K/BB rate this year, Justin Turner has displayed strong plate discipline, placing in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Wyatt Langford has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 94.8-mph in the last 14 days. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Wyatt Langford has been unlucky this year. His .308 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .346.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal angle of 21°, Cal Raleigh has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.6°) in the last two weeks' worth of games. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Cal Raleigh has suffered from bad luck this year. His .313 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .339.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jorge Polanco's true offensive talent to be a .322, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .042 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .280 wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. With a .320 BABIP this year, Ezequiel Duran finds himself in the 79th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. Adolis Garcia has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.8% seasonal rate to 17.9% over the last two weeks. Adolis Garcia's launch angle in recent games (23° in the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 15.3° seasonal figure.

Victor Robles is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Victor Robles pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Victor Robles will hold that advantage today. Over the last 7 days, Victor Robles's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%. Victor Robles has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86-mph to 89.6-mph in the last week's worth of games.